Tennis Picks: Grading the 2015 US Open Betting Favorites and Field

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, April 14, 2015 8:34 PM GMT

Now that the Spring hard court season is in the books, we evaluate the players with a view towards the 2015 US Open. Here's our take on what has transpired since the start of the 2015 ATP season and how the tennis odds stack up.

Foreword
The following is a snapshot of the favorites currently trading on the 2015 US Open tennis odds board and some of the contenders as identified by the odds makers. It's in no way a complete list of the entire ATP field; this means there are players that we've overlooked simply because it's impossible to cover each and every tennis player and their respective tennis odds within the confines of this column. Check in to your favorite online sports betting platform for a more comprehensive serving of 2015 US Open tennis odds.

 

Novak Djokovic +150
Novak Djokovic is off to a flying start on the 2015 season, winning the Australian Open and back-to-back Masters titles: Indian Wells and Miami. Shades of his brilliant 2011 season, during which he established himself as the standard on the ATP Tour. As such, it should come as no surprise to tennis bettors that he leads the 2015 US Open field as the top favorite to win outright at +150. It's a long way to the last Grand Slam of the season, but if he can maintain the momentum as he did four years ago, watch this space...

 

Rafael Nadal +400
The Spaniard is off to a shaky start on the 2015 season by his lofty standards. To be fair, that's to have been expected considering he was sidelined with a wrist injury last summer and, then, to add insult to injury, being setback further in the fall with appendicitis, which required surgery to remove his appendix in October. Some allowances, therefore, have to be made for the 28-year-old, whose 2014 season ended on a rather abrupt note, without enough competitive matches under his belt, let alone  adequate practice and conditioning in the offseason. The 14-time Grand Slam champion certainly deserves to be in the thick of the mix of favorites; his championship pedigree demands it. But it remains to be seen whether he actually warrants being the second overall favorite for the title and, by that same token, whether he's a value tennis pick. How Nadal measures up will be determined to a certain extent during the clay court swing that is in progress right now, his favorite time of the year when he usually taps into another level. He's a player that grinds his way into form and, in turn, confidence. If he can put together a stellar clay court season, he'll be one to spot for your tennis picks surely.

 

Andy Murray +500
Andy Murray is enjoying a good start to the 2015 season, but not a great one. He's reached the quarterfinals or better in all five of his events this season; most notably, the Aussie Open semis, Indian Wells semis and the Miami final, all of which he lost to Djokovic. Indeed, the Serbian is his kryptonite and getting past him has been a trial for the Scott in recent years. Nevertheless, he's showing positive signs and playing much better than he did last season when he was still recovering from back surgery and shuffling his coaching team following Ivan Lendl's unexpected departure. How Murray fares in the lead up to the US Open is going to be pivotal towards his chances at the 2015 US Open, the scene of his maiden Grand Slam triumph. A few developments in his camp, however, could prove distracting: he just tied the knot with long time girlfriend Kim Sears this week and his coach Amelie Mauresmo recently announced she's expecting her first baby in August; although no word about a change in their coaching arrangement has been confirmed yet. As it is, Murray is a soft third favorite on the tennis betting board.

 

Roger Federer +900
There are those that would suggest World No.2 and 17-time Grand Slam champion Roger Federer is being snubbed by the odds makers for the 2015 US Open. To be installed as the fourth overall favorite at +900 tennis odds following a 16-2 start on the season ahead of the Monte Carlo Masters seems a bit disingenuous. Only Djokovic has lost as few matches as Federer has. Speaking of which, Federer beat the Serbian starlet quite convincingly in Dubai to clinch the crown, albeit it was a best of three final. Beating Djokovic in five sets is no mean feat these days, particularly for Federer, who lost their last Grand Slam meeting (2014 Wimbledon final) and last beat Djokovic in a Grand Slam final three years ago (2012 Wimbledon semis). If Federer can maintain his solid form throughout the summer months and into the US Open Series, he's sure to be a legitimate threat. If you're looking for savvy early tennis picks, he just might be the one to spot.

 

The Pretenders
Stanislas Wawrinka (+1400) and Marin Cilic (+1600) are two of the pretenders on the tennis odds board. Both won their maiden Grand Slams in 2015; the former by winning the Australian Open and the latter by winning the US Open. Nevertheless, the pair will be hard pressed to clinch a second Grand Slam title, as evinced by Wawrinka's defeat to Djokovic in the 2015 Australian Open final. They simply don't have the kind of consistency multiple champions Federer (17 titles), Nadal (14) and Djokovic (8) have demonstrated over the years.

Check out our top WTA US Open tennis picks

The Field
Maybe Juan Martin Del Potro, as a former US Open champion (2009), should be included amongst the pretenders. We've demoted him into the "Field" only because he's coming off wrist surgery and has yet to play a string of events with any measure of success that would suggest he's an outside tennis pick to consider.

The legitimate contenders in the so-called "Field" include last year's runner-up Kei Nishikori (+1600), Grigor Dimitrov (+1800), Tomas Berdych (+2500) and Milos Raonic (+3300). However, all these players have fallen short of the mark in one way or another in the first few months of the season. Of this lot, only Kei Nishikori has picked up a title: Memphis Open, albeit just a 250 ATP event.

Based on form this season, one has to concede David Ferrer (+6600) is a contender. With three titles (equalling Djokovic's tally) the 33-year-old veteran has gone toe-to-toe with his peers and, more often than not, come to the good.

Finally, we can't talk about the US Open without looking at the bevy of American hopefuls, led by John Isner (+10000), who is coming off a semi-final at Miami and might fancy his chances at his home Slam; arguably, his best shot at a major title. Jack Sock and Ryan Harrison (tennis odds available on special request) are young starlets hoping to make the spotlight at Flushing Meadows and you can bet they will benefit from home advantage.

Check out our top tennis picks for the Women's Grand Slam Events

Tennis Betting Verdict
So there you have it, a look at the tennis betting landscape as it stacks up today with a view towards the 2015 US Open. It's a long way yet to the last Grand Slam of the season and a lot can change until then, but based on current form and results in the game the top tennis picks in early tennis betting markets have to be none other than the top two players in the ATP rankings: Novak Djokovic +150 and Roger Federer +900.