Tennis Picks: Gerry Weber Open Odds & Predictions

Nila Amerova

Tuesday, June 11, 2013 7:51 PM GMT

Tennis turns to grass this week with a pair of ATP 250 events. Defending Wimbledon champion Roger Federer, who is still seeking his first title on the season, leads the draw at the Gerry Weber Open in Halle.

Can Roger Federer accomplish the deed in Halle and, in turn, improve his odds for the upcoming Wimbledon Championships, which are ominously longer than they ever were before to win outright? Find out as we rundown through the draw and tennis odds currently in full swing.

Federer desperately seeking title

Roger Federer enters the Gerry Weber Open draw as the top seed and the top favourite for the title at Bet365 with betting odds at +110. Surely, Federer – also known as the King of Grass – will be a top choice for tennis picks this week amongst most fans. 

The road to the title is not without obstacles but fortunately for Federer he’ll come upon them a bit later in the tournament, after having a few matches under his belt and a chance to get used to the feel of grass under his feet.

He begins his campaign against wildcard Cedrik-Marcel Stebe, who ranks No. 166 in the ATP rankings this week. He should get through that match with relative ease (one would think/hope), so no need to dwell on it. In the quarterfinals, he could face either journeyman Mischa Zverev or lucky loser Mirza Basic. Either one of these should be straightforward matchups for Federer again.

Where it could get tough for Federer is in the semi-finals if defending champion Tommy Haas emerges. Last year, Tommy Haas beat Federer to the title in straight sets, 7-6 (5), 6-4, to the delight of German fans. He presents the toughest obstacle to the title match and given the form he’s enjoying this season so far he certainly can pull off a repeat win over Federer. Bet365 is trading Haas at a tempting +550 to win the title. If you are so inclined, it’s great value on Haas.

Of course, before Haas can get a crack at Federer he needs to navigate a successful course through the rounds as well. That he faces a tough customer in Ernests Gulbis in his opening match makes his road tough from the get go. Gulbis, who already has a title on the season, strikes an attractive pose at +1800 to win outright at Bet365.

It doesn’t get easier for Haas as Gael Monfils looms as a potential opponent in the quarterfinals. Assuming the Frenchman advances past Jan Hernych in the second round, Monfils (tipped at +1200) could give Haas a run for his money. They do have a close head-to-head at 2-1, although Haas has the 1-0 edge on 2013 after beating Monfils in Auckland earlier this year in three sets.

Bottom half of the draw wide open

It’s a rather lopsided draw at Halle with both the winner and runner-up contained within the top-half of the draw, as well as several outside threats – Gael Monfils and Ernests Gulbis, respectively. The upshot of which: the bottom half of the draw is wide open.

Second seed Richard Gasquet, who leads the charge from the bottom-half of the draw, must be thrilled. Tickled. So should sixth seed Philipp Kohlschreiber.

In the futures market Gasquet is considered the second favourite for the title but where odds are concerned, his +500 odds to win outright are a distance off of Federer’s trim odds. Great value if he pulls off the feat though.

Gasquet however has a tough opening match against Jurgen Melzer, who most online sportsbooks price as an incredible +5000 long shot for the title. Why is this match tough? Well, there is also the small matter of Gasquet coming unglued at the French Open, losing to Wawrinka in five sets after taking a two set lead. It’s hard to recover from such a disappointment at the best of times. When such a disappointment is – in no uncertain terms – a complete and utter train wreck and when it occurs at your home slam, before thousands of adoring fans, its affect can spill over for many tournaments to come. In fact, while we’re on the subject, a wager on Jurgen Melzer to upset Gasquet in match betting markets might be in order.

In the event that Gasquet does survive Melzer he could face either Germany’s Florian Mayer or Argentina’s Leonardo Mayer (no relation) in the quarterfinals. The former of which could prove tricky because of home advantage mainly.

In the semis, Gaquet could see either young up-and-comer Kei Nishikori, Mikhail Youzhny or Philipp Kohlschreiber, to name a few. Kohlschreiber, who is the sixth seed in the tournament, comes in as the fourth favourite for the title at +700. He won the title here two years ago and, as such, presents Gasquet the biggest threat in his section.

It’s all about Wimbledon in the end.

All eyes will be on this tournament mainly to pay close attention to Federer and his preparations for Wimbledon. Many believe Federer needs to win this title in order to reassert himself as a strong favourite for Wimbledon.

As things currently stand, Federer, the seven-time Wimbledon champion, is a staggering +500 bet at Bet365 to win his beloved Wimby. No, it’s not a typo. And yes, he’s tipped behind Djokovic, Murray and Nadal to win. If Federer wins the Gerry Weber Open his odds for Wimbledon will surely shorten. Therefore, if you are thinking of adding Federer with your sports picks in the outright win market for Wimbledon, then you are best to make a move now while he’s such a value play. Just a tip.

Tennis Picks – As far as the Gerry Weber Open goes, the best picks to win outright are Federer at +110 or Haas at +550. Kohlschreiber leaps off the page as the best outside play at +700 at Bet365.