After a few profitable days William Hill's Lee Phelps has said goodbye to his tip for the women's title. He's back on the horse though and has three free betting picks for Tuesday in Paris.
The women’s French Open has been blown wide open by Lucie Safarova’s win over Maria Sharapova, sending my tip for the title crashing out. I’m looking at her next match, as well as Ana Ivanovic versus Elina Svitolina and my outside tip for the men, Kei Nishikori against Jo Wilfried Tsonga.
Lucie Safarova vs Garbine Muguruza
Maintaining form following a big win is often difficult to do in a slam and you have to wonder if Safarova will struggle to maintain her consistency against her Spanish opponent, who is having a very good tournament herself.
She has dumped Giorgi, Kerber and Pennetta out, while even before the win over Sharapova, Safaraova beat Sabine Lisicki.
Her clay court performances show just three losses and on each occasion she went three sets, including a marathon against Kuznetsova losing 5-7, 7-6 (5), 7-6 (3).
It’ a very similar story for Muguruza, losing twice this season including a three setter to Kuznetsova 3-6, 7-5, 5-7, while her other defeat was to Kristina Mladenovic 6-7 6-7, so two very tight matches.
I can’t choose a winner here for my tennis picks, but I like over 22.5 games at 1.83 (5/6). That way you get paid out on a straight sets 6-4, 7-6 or anything with more games in and I can see this going the distance.
Tennis picks: Over 22.5 games 1.83 (5/6)
Ana Ivanovic vs Elina Svitolina
Former world number one Ivanovic has looked gutsy and determined so far in Paris and will really fancy her chances of a final appearance.
Her Ukrainian opponent’s first real test came in the last round and she passed it well, beating French favorite Alize Cornet.
Ivanovic has had to go to three sets in three of her four matches, beating Yaroslava Shvedova, Misaki Doi and Ekaterina Makarova the long way around.
The head to head is six zip to Ivanovic and that includes two wins on clay, with the most recent a straight sets win in Madrid 6-3, 6-4 when Svitolina struggled with her second serve. Interestingly the stats were almost identical when they met on clay in 2014 and the result was the same: 2-0.
Tennis pick: Ivanovic in straights 2.2 (11/10)
Kei Nishikori vs Jo Wilfried-Tsonga
I’m a big fan of both players and Tsonga caught my eye at a big price pre-tournament, but I went with the Japanese player because of his consistency, but he is plenty short enough here at 1.28 (2/7).
I can see why he is a heavy favorite with the head to head 4-1 in his favor, including two hard court wins in Paris.
My reason for backing him to get to the final here was based on his 2015 form winning in Barcelona before reaching the semis in Madrid and the quarters in Rome in the build-up to the French.
Tsonga looked as good as I’ve seen him beating fourth seed Thomas Berdych and has been to the semi-finals (2013) and quarter-finals (2012) at his home slam.
In every win the Japanese player has had over Tsonga, he has dropped at least a set and took five to beat him in their only slam meeting at the Australian Open in 2011.
I’m going with Nishikori in four sets here, but for safety I’ll play Nishikori to win but both to win a set at 2.6 (13/10) on the tennis odds.
Tennis pick: Nishikori to win but both players to win a set 2.3 (13/10)