Tennis Picks: Davis Cup Betting Futures & R16 Preview

Nikki Adams

Saturday, February 27, 2016 9:20 PM GMT

The Davis Cup is set to get underway next week and we bring you the current market outlook for all 16 nations vying for the coveted trophy. Which nation tops the short-list of favorites and where are the value tennis picks?

Serbia The Team To Beat
With the world No.1 player Novak Djokovic spearheading Serbia, it’s no wonder the nation is top of the short-list to win the Davis Cup this season. Bet365 has Serbia trading at +250 on the Davis Cup odds board. However, France, the most complete team with top players in the game across the board, nip at Serbia’s heels as the +300 tennis pick to win it all. Defending champions Great Britain, meanwhile, are surprisingly matched as the sixth overall faves.

Here we look at the complete Davis Cup serving at bet365 and below we preview the R16 matchups.

Top Half of the Draw
Serbia’s favorable outlook on the Davis Cup odds board is helped along by having one of the easiest draws in the R16 – they are set to play tournament longshots Kazakhstan, which, by all accounts, they should negotiate successfully in order to advance into the quarterfinals.

Somewhat surprisingly Great Britain are matched at large +1400 tennis odds to win it all, despite gaining a relatively favorable draw against Japan. However, their long tennis odds are down to the section of the draw rather than their R16 opponent. No disrespect to Japan of course and their star player Kei Nishikori, but it does take more than one player to improve a nation’s chances in what is essentially a team competition. (Why else are the Japanese priced as tournament longshots at +3300). Fact is that even with the Murray brothers confirmed to play, Great Britain is on course for a clash with Serbia in the quarterfinals. Therein lies the rather unfavorable outlook. That being said, beyond Novak Djokovic Serbia is beatable which makes Great Britain worth a speculative punt in our opinion.

Argentina and Poland are set to collide in the R16, marking a rather favorable tie that could go either way on the strength of their teams. By that same token, neither side has the kind of roster that could take it all the way so while one of the pair is sure to reach the quarterfinals, it’s hard to see it go any further in the  competition.

Particularly when they are set to take on the winner of Italy and Switzerland in the quarterfinals. As it is, the Swiss appear to be without Roger Federer (injury) and Stanislas Wawrinka’s services for the R16, but that could change down the road hence their current +1100. Meanwhile, the Italians, bringing their best crop of players that includes Andreas Seppi and Simone Bolleli, seem to be an overly generous tennis pick considering the fact that they are in the same section of the draw as Serbia and Great Britain and the path to the final would most likely take them through one of this formidable pair.

 

Bottom Galf of the Draw
France, by contrast, has a slightly tougher draw with Canada, largely down to the strong cast that includes Milos Raonic and doubles-guru Daniel Nestor. Still, France brings four players from the top 20 to the table – Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, Richard Gasquet, Gael Monfils and Gilles Simon. If all four are fit and ready to play, Canada (+1800) are sure to have a tough challenge on their hands.

Czech Republic (+1600) have been one of the more successful teams in the competition behind Tomas Berdych and Radek Stepanek. With the pair set to return, along with Lukas Rosol and Jiri Vesely, they are the dark horse of the competition according to the tennis odds. They do have tough opponent in the R16 – Germany (+1800) features veteran Philipp Kohlschreiber and Philipp Petzschner as well as young rising star Alexander Zverev and the mercurial Dustin Brown. Should the Czech Republic overcome the Germans, they’d face the winner of France vs. Canada – the former marking a very heated rivalry in the competition.

Croatia (+1200) strike an attractive pose on the Davis Cup odds board with one of the more complete teams that features Marin Cilic, Borna Coric, Ivan Dodig and Mario Draganja. Belgium will be no mean feat to overcome, particularly on the road, but on the strength of their roster Croatia should at the very least go into the quarterfinals where they would take on the winner of Australia vs. USA.

The clash between Australia and USA is a matchup of the originals of the competition. Both teams stack up well on paper, but the Aussies appear to have the edge on the Davis Cup odds board as the third overall favorites with Aussie coach Lleyton Hewit bringing young Aussie stars in the making Nick Kyrgios and Bernard Tomic along with big-serving Sam Groth and doubles aficionado John Peers. No team has a better doubles duo than USA with the Bryan brothers, but seeing as the strength of the tie rests on singles play the Americans, relying on John Isner and Jack Sock, are an outside tennis pick at +1600.

 

Davis Cup Early Picks
The beauty of Davis Cup is the team spirit of the competition that supersedes individual stars. Looking at the rosters as they currently stand, Great Britain at +1400 is our top choice to emerge from the top half of the draw while Czech Republic +1600 is our top tennis pick to emerge from the bottom half of the draw.

For our outside tennis picks, Italy could prove a dark horse in the top half to reach at the very least the semis while Croatia strikes an attractive pose as an outside tennis pick in the bottom half to go as far as the semis at the very least.

Tennis Picks: Great Britain vs. Czech Republic in the Final