Can Djokovic Extend His Dominance at the Rolex Paris Masters?

João Mourato

Wednesday, October 31, 2018 10:39 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 31, 2018 10:39 PM UTC

The Rolex Paris Masters is the last tournament on the tour before the season-ending ATP World Tour Finals in London. Find out who the undeniable favorite is, as well as the player to keep an eye in Paris.

Undeniable Favorite

Four-time champion Novak Djokovic arrived in Paris on an 18-match winning streak and only 215 points behind Rafael Nadal in the ATP rankings. Nadal has missed nearly two months of action and despite recent improvements, the Spaniard was forced to withdraw from the Paris Masters due to an abdominal injury. This means that Djokovic will return to the top of the men’s tennis world rankings next Monday for the first time in two years.

The Serbian began his bid for a record-extending fifth Rolex Paris Masters title with a 7-5, 6-1 win over Joao Sousa in one hour and 33 minutes. Djokovic saved 9 of the 10 break points he faced and converted 50% of his break point chances on Sousa’s serve. The 14-time Grand Slam champion will next face Damir Dzumhur for a place in the quarterfinals. The sportsbooks expect a straightforward win from Djokovic with the No.2 seed as the undeniable favorite at -3333 with Bet365. The spread is at -6 at -110 with 5Dimes and although we expect an easy win from Djokovic, it’s impossible to find any value on this line.

Despite the lack of value on his tennis betting odds against Dzumhur, Bet365 offers an interesting price for Novak to win his fifth title in the French capital. Djokovic won’t have an easy task in Paris with Roger Federer, Marin Cilic and Kei Nishikori in the same half of the draw but is impossible to go against him at the moment. Adding to this, the conditions at the AccorHotels Arena suit Djokovic’s style with the Serbian winning 18 of his last 19 matches on this event. With this in mind, our suggestion is to place a bet on Novak’s outright at -125 at Bet365 as the best betting approach for this tournament.

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Player to Keep an Eye

Dominic Thiem continues his quest for a third consecutive appearance at the season-ending tournament in London. The 25-year-old is currently in the eight place in the ATP Race to London with Kei Nishikori 325 points behind the Austrian. Thiem made a winning start to his Paris campaign, defeating Gilles Simon 6-4, 6-2 in just one hour and 24 minutes to earn his 51st win of the season on the ATP World Tour.

Looking now at Dominic’s draw on this event, the No.6 seed returns to action this Thursday against Borna Coric. The Croatian started his Paris campaign with a straight-set victory against Daniil Medvedev but has no mathematical chance of making it to London. These two players are no strangers with Thiem leading their head-to-head 2-1. Despite Borna’s impressive performance against Medvedev in the previous round, the slow conditions in Paris should benefit Dominic on this match-up. For that reason, our advice is to add Thiem’s moneyline to your betting picks at -112 at Pinnacle as the best value bet for this contest.

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