Tennis Picks: ATP St. Petersburg Final Top Play

Joao Mourato

Saturday, September 26, 2015 6:39 PM GMT

Raonic is the clear favorite for the title; however, he'll face a very tough competitor who has been able to win three straight matches as an underdog. Find out our top tennis pick for Sunday's ATP St. Petersburg final.

João Sousa (7) vs. Milos Raonic (2)
Milos Raonic loves to play in Indoor, he already said this week that the Indoor conditions are those where he prefers to play and clearly his level raised from last tournaments.

Raonic hasn’t been broken so far this week with an average of 1.51 aces per service game and 61.51% first serve in. When Milos is able to get more than 60% first serve in he’s almost unbreakable and that allows him to be extra confident on return.

João Sousa is a tremendous competitor and the Indoor conditions clearly suit his high pace and aggressive baseline game. Sousa has been underdog in last three matches but that didn’t bother him and the Portuguese won all of those three meetings in straight sets.

In semifinals he was facing Dominic Thiem with 0 – 3 on h2h however with his consistent game managed to take advantage of Dominic’s errors and closed the match 6 – 4 7 – 6.

Raonic is the clear favorite and also won the two previous meetings, the last one was played this year in Monte Carlo clay where Milos won 6 – 3 7 – 6. 

Despite being heavy favorite won't be as easy for Raonic as odds indicate, the Portuguese is a very tough competitor and will use his high pace to force Raonic to move. The Canadian should do the job but the value is clearly on Over tennis odds and we’ll add those to our tennis picks.

Tennis Pick: Over 21.5 (-106) at Pinnacle