Tennis Picks: ATP AEGON Championships & AEGON Classic Odds

Nila Amerova

Tuesday, June 11, 2013 8:19 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 11, 2013 8:19 PM UTC

Andy Murray leads the charge at the ATP AEGON Championships this week, marking the start of the grass court swing in London. Over on the women’s front, it’s a muted offering with Kirsten Flipkens leading the charge at the WTA AEGON Classic in Birmingham. Join us as we preview both events and serve up tennis picks for your consideration.

Andy Murray at the forefront on futures market

It should come as no surprise that Andy Murray, the British No.1, is at the forefront of the ATP AEGON Championships futures market. Listed as the +163 odds-on favourite to win outright, he’s the player to beat.

What’s more, Murray couldn’t have received a better draw had he culled it himself. The highest seeded threat in his section is Alexandr Dolgopolov, a player that ranks just outside the top 20 and is (for the most part) an inconsistent threat – aptly listed at tennis odds of +3300 to win outright.

Murray, who’s won this event twice and boasts a solid 14-4 record at Queen’s Club, should have few obstacles in the early rounds. Granted, there are some question marks that surround him – specifically his fitness and form. He did withdraw from the French Open with a back injury. So it remains to be seen whether it’ll be an issue. But, on paper, things look good for him, at least through to the semi-finals.

He opens against Nicolas Mahut – the player best known for that incredible five set marathon against John Isner that went 70-68 in the decider. But expecting Mahut to beat Murray is a long shot despite that most memorable grass-court deposit. A couple of long shots for your sports picks in Llodra (+6600) or Matosevic loom in the R16. The former would have the better shot on paper but still the Frenchman is a long shot chance few would back. As for the quarters, the four potential matchups that could emerge – Dolgopolov, Rosol, Becker or Giraldo – don’t appear to be threatening either.

The first real challenge to Murray’s title hopes presents in the semis where Tsonga or Kevin Anderson could be waiting, although you wouldn’t know it immediately to look at their respective odds of +550 and +2200 to win outright. Then again, after Tsonga’s letdown at the French Open, which was so shocking that it even elicited boos from the French crowd, it remains to be seen how well he bounces back and competes here.

Finally, the title match as well would be Murray’s most challenging obstacle if Tomas Berdych, the second odds on favourite at +500 or Juan Martin Del Potro (+550) emerges. Outside shots that could make for an interesting final are Grigor Dimitrov at +1200 or Sam Querrey at +1800.

Tennis Betting Verdict: By all accounts, this is Murray’s tournament to win or lose. Berdych is the only viable threat that could wrestle the title from him but only in the final. So without further ado, here are some (brash maybe) tennis picks for your consideration.

Quarterfinal Predictions and Picks: Murray over Becker; Anderson over Istomin; Dimitrov over Nieminen; and Berdych over Lopez.
Semi-final Predictions and Picks: Murray over Anderson; Berdych over Dimitrov
Final Prediction and Pick: Murray over Berdych in three sets

WTA AEGON Classic is wide open

The WTA AEGON Classic is such a wide open affair evinced by the outright win market that stands in stark contrast to the tournament seeds. What this mean for tennis bettors is that there are plenty of angles for profit.

Kirsten Flipkens may be the top seed owing to having the highest ranking but she’s certainly not the odds-on favourite to win outright. That honour has been bestowed upon fifth seed Sabine Lisicki who was a Wimbledon semi-finalist in 2011. Lisicki is listed as the +550 bet to win outright. Lisicki however faces an interesting up-and-comer in Kristyna Pliskova (+5000) from the Czech Republic in her opening match. The 21-year-old won the 2010 junior Wimbledon Championships. It remains to be seen whether she’ll even get through that match.

Moreover, Lisicki’s section is littered with threats such as home favourite Heather Watson at +2000, Yanina Wickmayer +2800 and Tamira Paszek at +4000, to name a few. In the semis, Lisicki could face big-hitting Laura Robson, listed at an attractive +1400 to win outright by Bet365 or veterans Daniela Hantuchova (+1600) and Francesca Schiavone (+2500), amongst several others.

Going back to Kirsten Flipkens, the top seed and second favourite for the title listed at +1000, her half of the draw is equally intriguing with an immediate threat that is growing in strength and that is American up-and-comer Madison Keys (+1600). Later threats that could emerge include dangerous floaters Tsvetana Pironkova (+3300) and Bojana Jovanovski (+3300).

Tennis Betting Verdict: Everything points to a potential surprise result in Birmingham this week and, as such, here are some (outlandish?) picks for your consideration.

Quarterfinal Predictions and Picks: Keys over Flipkens; Pironkova over Sanchez; Wickmayer over Watson; and Robson over Makarova.
Semi-final Predictions and Picks:
Keys over Pironkova and Robson over Wickmayer
Final Prediction and Pick: Robson over Keys
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