Tennis Pick: Back Victoria Azarenka vs. Roberta Vinci In WTA Brisbane Quarterfinals

João Mourato

Wednesday, January 6, 2016 7:36 PM GMT

Find out our top tennis pick for WTA Brisbane quarterfinals. We've selected a former world no.1 as our best tennis bet for this Thursday, join us and find out who are we talking about.

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Free Tennis Pick: Victoria Azarenka -1.5 Set Handicap (-132)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

It has been a surprising week in WTA Brisbane, with some of the main favorites withdrawing due to physical problems. As we mentioned in our tournament preview, the top half of Brisbane’s draw seemed to be extremely competitive, but after Maria Sharapova and Simona Halep’s retirement, Victoria Azarenka has a great opportunity to reach the final. Adding to this, the highest ranked player on bottom half of the draw, Garbine Muguruza, also retired from the competition, which increases Victoria’s chances to grab the trophy in Brisbane.

 

Victoria Azarenka vs. Roberta Vinci (8)
After a tough 2015 with several physical problems, Azarenka is determined to regain her place as one of the best players in the world. Victoria has been very solid this week, with two straight sets victories against Elena Vesnina and Ysaline Bonaventure. The Belarussian is known for being an extremely aggressive baseliner and this week she only allowed her opponents to hold 33.3% of service games. Despite averaging 0.63 double faults on this event, Azarenka won 87.5% of service games and showed great focus on pressure points, with 80.0% break points saved.

The 2015 US Open runner-up, Roberta Vinci, reaches WTA Brisbane’s quarter-finals for the first time in five appearances. Roberta is a very tricky player, not giving any rhythm to her opponents with her backhand slice and always looking for an opportunity to rush to the net. The Italian achieved two very good victories this week; firstly, a comeback from set down against the former world no.1 Jelena Jankovic and then a convincing triumph over the 2014 Australian Open runner-up, Dominika Cibulkova. Roberta has always been quite solid on serve this week, holding 85.7% of her service games, however she’s only placing 58.1% first serve in.

This will be the 4th career meeting between these two players, with Azarenka leading 3 – 0. The Belarussian won all the previous encounters in straight sets, but this will be their first match since 2012.

Azarenka is trying to return to her best tennis and winning the title in Brisbane would be a massive boost to her confidence. Victoria won her last trophy at Cincinnati in 2013, losing the next three finals she played. After seeing almost all main contenders retiring, Azarenka knows this is her moment. Vinci will try to cut the pace from Azarenka with her backhand slice; however, the Belarussian should be too good from the baseline. The first games might be tough for Victoria, with the former world no.1 adjusting to her opponent game style, but once she finds her rhythm, it should be a clear victory for Azarenka.

The spread on Azarenka is a little too high -5.0 (-102) at Pinnacle, for that reason we suggest to wait for the first games of the match where Victoria might struggle, giving an opportunity to place a bet on a lower game handicap. On the other hand, the tennis odds on set handicap have some value and we advise to add this bet to your tennis picks.