Tennis Odds: Best Men's Picks for U.S. Open Day 4

roger federer

Joao Mourato

Thursday, August 31, 2017 1:10 PM GMT

Thursday, Aug. 31, 2017 1:10 PM GMT

Join our expert tennis capper for his top betting selections for the U.S. Open's men's draw Thursday. He'll provide a detailed analysis, explaining why you should grab this betting duo.

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://www.youtube.com/embed/PMVYoSNdeo0", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]Roger Federer (3) vs. Mikhail Youzhny

The five-time US Open champion Federer continues his quest for a 20th Grand Slam title. Despite being 36, Federer is going through one of the best moments in his career with a phenomenal 35-3 record in 2017. After winning the Australian Open and Wimbledon, the Swiss maestro is trying to win three Grand Slams in the same year for the first time since 2007. Nevertheless, the world No. 3 was far from impressive in his US Open debut against Frances Tiafoe with only 41 winners and 56 unforced errors.

At 35, Youzhny’s glorious days are long gone. Despite his undeniable talent, the Russian can no longer compete against the best in the world. In addition to his poor 33.33% winning record on the ATP Tour in 2017, Youzhny lost nine of his last 10 encounters against top 50 opponents. Taking a look now at Mikhail’s campaign in this event, the two-time US Open semifinalist reaches this stage of the competition after a 6-3, 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 win over Blaz Kavcic.

These two players know each other very well with Federer winning all their previous 16 encounters, so clearly Federer is a terrible matchup for the Russian. Adding to this, Youzhny only won one set in 16.67% of their last 12 encounters. Despite Roger’s shaky performance in the opening round, the Swiss should be too strong for Mikhail. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of the value on Federer’s tennis betting odds by placing a bet on the 19-time Grand Slam champion to cover his spread.

Free Tennis Pick: Federer -8 (-105)Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

 

Damir Dzumhur vs. Cedrik-Marcel Stebe (q)

As we predicted in our US Open Day 2 analysis, Stebe proved too strong for Nicolas Kicker. Despite a long absence, the 26-year-old is back to his best level with an outstanding 74.24% winning record in 2017. Taking a look now at Stebe’s numbers in his opening-round match, the highlight definitely goes to his return to serve with the German qualifier winning 45.83% of the points on Kicker’s serve. On the other hand, Cedrik only allowed one break of serve to the Argentinean throughout the entire match.

After a slow start to 2017, Dzumhur is going through the best moment in his career with a 13-3 record in recent weeks. Against our expectations, Pablo Cuevas couldn’t find the answer to Dzumhur’s solid baseline game with the 25-year-old booking a place in the 2nd of the US Open for the second time in his career. Despite his straight-sets victory, Damir was far from impressive on serve with Cuevas winning 40.19% of the points on the Bosnian’s serve.

This will be the 2nd career meeting between these two players with Stebe up 1-0 after his victory at the German Tennis Championships in July.

Despite Dzumhur’s incredible results in recent weeks, it’s hard to ignore the current price on Stebe’s money line. On the other hand, the German won their previous encounter in two easy sets just a few weeks ago. Having said that, our recommendation is for you to add Stebe to your betting picks as the most valuable play for this contest.

Free Tennis Pick: Stebe +120Best Line Offered: 5Dimes
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