Australian Open Day 5: Can Wozniacki Avoid an Upset Again?

João Mourato

Wednesday, January 17, 2018 6:10 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 17, 2018 6:10 PM UTC

Join us for our daily coverage of the Australian Open tournament. Find out our top tennis picks for Day 5 (Thursday in USA) and why you should place these two valuable bets.

Andreas Seppi vs. Ivo Karlovic

Karlovic became the oldest player to reach the Australian Open third round in 40 years. The 38-year-old emerged victorious from the longest match of the tournament in a 7-6, 6-7, 7-5, 4-6, 12-10 win over Yuichi Sugita in four hours and 33 minutes. The 6-foot-11 Croatian served 53 aces and ended the match with an impressive average of 3.26 winners per game. On the other hand, Karlovic only allowed Sugita to win 8.33% of his break point opportunities.

Seppi continues to impress in Melbourne Park. The fast court conditions on this event are perfect for Seppi’s game style with the Italian securing a spot in the 3rd round for the fifth time in six years. In addition to his 73.68% winning record since 2013, the 33-year-old recorded the biggest win of his career at the Rod Laver Arena in 2015 against Roger Federer. The former world No. 18 reaches this stage of the competition after a 6-1, 6-3, 6-4 victory over Yoshihito Nishioka.

These two players will face each other for the fourth time in their careers with Karlovic winning two of their previous three. Despite Ivo’s lead on the h2h, it’s hard to bet against Andreas here. On the other hand, it won’t be easy for a 38-year-old to recover for this match after spending more than four hours on court in the previous round. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of the value on Seppi’s tennis betting odds to extend his good results in Melbourne Park.

Free Tennis Pick: Seppi -141Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Kiki Bertens (30) vs. Caroline Wozniacki (2)

The former world No. 1 Wozniacki pulled off a stirring comeback Wednesday, saving two match points and recovering from 1-5 down in the decisive set against Jana Fett. The 27-year-old struggled with the hot conditions in Melbourne but showed once again why she’s considered one of the greatest competitors in tennis. Despite never winning a major, Wozniacki is one of the main contenders to win the title. The Dane can also reclaim the No. 1 ranking in Melbourne Park.

Regardless of this Friday’s outcome, Bertens already secured her return to the Top 30 after the Australian Open. After reaching the French Open semifinals in 2016, the 26-year-old is looking for another successful run in a Grand Slam event. Nevertheless, the court conditions in Melbourne Park are not the best for Bertens' game style. In addition to her poor 47.66% winning record in her career on hard courts, she lost all her previous 16 encounters against Top 20 opponents on this surface.

This will be the 3rd career meeting between these two players with Wozniacki leading 2–0. The fast court conditions at the Australian Open should benefit Wozniacki in this matchup. It's also impossible to ignore Kiki’s career record against players from the Top 20. Having said that, our advice is for you to add Wozniacki’s -1.5 Set Handicap to your betting picks as the most valuable play for this contest.

Free Tennis Pick: Wozniacki -1.5 Set Handicap (-147)Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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