Tennis Betting - Top Plays For Day 4 ATP World Tour Finals

Joao Mourato

Tuesday, November 15, 2016 4:43 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 15, 2016 4:43 PM UTC

Join us and find out our two top betting selections for the ATP World Tour Finals Day 4. We'll provide a detailed analysis, explaining why you should grab these two valuable tennis picks. 

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]Andy Murray (1) vs. Kei Nishikori (5)

As we predicted in our ATP World Tour Finals Day 2 analysis, Kei Nishikori proved to be too strong for Stan Wawrinka. The Swiss couldn’t find an answer to Kei’s baseline game with the Japanese emerging victorious by 6 – 2 6 – 3. The game conditions in the O2 Arena clearly suit Nishikori’s game style. Looking now to Kei’s numbers, the 2014 semifinalist ended the match against Stan with 19 winners / 18 unforced errors, 87.50% points won at the net and without facing a single break point.

The new world no.1 and main favorite to lift the trophy in London – Andy Murray – started his campaign with a 6 – 3 6 – 2 victory over Marin Cilic. Even though the score line suggests a solid performance from Andy, the British was far from impressive with only 11 winners and 19 unforced errors. However, Murray showed one of the big champions’ main quality, the ability to win matches without playing his best tennis. After winning the first match on the round robin stage, Andy is very close from securing his first appearance in the ATP World Tour semifinals since 2012.

These two players have featured some remarkable battles in the past with Murray leading on the h2h by 7 – 2. Despite Andy’s lead, Nishikori won their last encounter a few weeks ago at the US Open in an epic five sets battle.

This should be a high quality contest between the two main favorites to reach the following stage on the John McEnroe Group. Even though Andy’s favoritism, Nishikori is playing at a superb level and after his recent victory at the US Open, the value is definitely on the Japanese side. Having said that, we recommend you to add Nishikori’s set handicap to your betting picks.

Free Tennis Pick: Kei Nishikori +1.5 Set Handicap (+110)Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Stan Wawrinka (3) vs. Marin Cilic (7)

After losing all the three matches played in the round robin stage two years ago, Marin Cilic started his campaign in the 2016 ATP World Tour Finals edition with another defeat. The Croatian couldn’t find a solution against Murray’s solid baseline game, ending the match with awful numbers – 11 winners / 30 unforced errors. Even though this tournament takes place on Indoor Hard Court, the conditions in the O2 Arena are extremely slow. Cilic’s stats on serve are a good example of how slow these courts are with only 4 aces on his debut against Murray.

As we mentioned in previous articles, the last months haven’t been easy for Stan Wawrinka. The US Open champion has struggled to perform at a consistent level since his triumph in New York with several defeats. Wawrinka’s performance on his debut in London against Kei Nishikori is a good example of that with only 12 winners and 31 unforced errors. Despite Stan’s heavy loss in the previous match, the Swiss is always a fearful player on a big stage like this.

This will be the 13th career meeting between these two players with Stan leading on the h2h by 10 – 2.

As the h2h suggests, this is a terrific match-up for Wawrinka with the three-time Grand Slam champion winning all their last six matches. After losing the opening match against Nishikori, this contest is crucial for Stan to keep his hopes alive in London. Known for playing at his best on the big stages when it matters, we recommend you to take advantage of Stan the Man’s betting odds as the highest value play for this contest. 

Free Tennis Pick: Stan Wawrinka ML (+110)Best Line Offered: at Coral

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