Tennis Betting: Player Profiles for David Ferrer & Kei Nishikori

João Mourato

Tuesday, December 22, 2015 9:58 PM GMT

Find out our David Ferrer and Kei Nishikori Player's Profile analysis. We'll look at their recent seasons and examine their most profitable tennis betting trends.

David Ferrer
The 33 years old Spaniard from Javea is one of the greatest competitors on tour. Ferrer is an example of how it’s possible to be a top player with hard work and dedication. David compensates his lack of talent with a tremendous consistency and fighting spirit.

After winning just three titles in two previous seasons, Ferrer had a very good year of 2015 with 5 trophies. Before we go into details, let’s take a look on his numbers in recent years, using Pinnacle's closing betting odds.

 

 

 

Ferrer surprised Rafael Nadal in 2014 at Masters Monte Carlo, when he was priced as heavy underdog, and that’s the main reason why he was profitable in 2014 as Underdog. However if we look at the big picture, the Spaniard is far from a good investment when priced as Underdog. The main reason is his game style, he’s a tremendous baseliner with his consistency being enough to overcome lower ranked players, but against more talented players he can’t do much. When we look at his numbers when priced as Favorite, we can’t also verify a consistent pattern. This is related to the fact that Ferrer is often surprised in matches where he’s priced as Favorite.

Ferrer is not getting any younger and it will be tougher for him to play week after week. One of the hardest things to deal when age progresses is the recovery between matches, and Ferrer built his career by playing an enormous number of tournaments every year.

Despite ending 2015 with very solid numbers as Favorite, we advise to avoid betting on Ferrer in 2016. If Ferrer wins a title and is going to play in the following week on a lower level event, it might be also a good idea to play against him.

 

Kei Nishikori
Since his first career title in 2008, Kei Nishikori was pointed as one of the most talented players on tour, but it took four years for the Japanese to lift a trophy again. Nishikori is an excellent shot maker, with a great baseline movement and counter punching skills.

Nishikori raised his level in 2014, when he reached top 10 for the first time and also his first Grand Slam final at US Open. Let’s analyze closely Kei’s numbers in the past two seasons.

 

 

 

 

We can verify that Nishikori was a remarkable investment in 2014, however things were quite different in 2015. It’s important to mention that Kei is usually rated as an “injury prone player”, with the Japanese withdrawing from several tournaments in 2015 due to injuries. It’s also not rare to see Nishikori playing with some minor issues, especially on highly rated tournaments such as Masters and Grand Slams. On the other hand, the Japanese only plays on ATP events when he’s feeling at 100% - with the exception of ATP 500 Tokyo in October.

Due to Nishikori’s persistent physical problems, is dangerous to bet on him. Before placing any bet on Kei, we suggest to watch his previous matches and look for recent news where he might mention some injury. As we mentioned, Nishikori just plays ATP events when he’s in shape and his numbers in 2015 support that. For that reason our advice is to look for opportunities to add the Japanese to your betting picks on these tournaments.