Sharapova vs. Garbine Muguruza
Maria Sharapova is a reinvented clay-court player. Once a self-dubbed cow on ice (in reference to playing on clay), she’s become a gazelle, winning more matches and titles on the red stuff than ever before in her career, including the 2012 French Open title. It’s an almost unheard of reinvention; certainly, one few would have predicted early in her career.
As things currently stand, Maria Sharapova enters the quarterfinal round as the +125 favourite to win outright. With no Serena Williams, the pre-tournament favourite, in her way or Li Na, the second favourite, threatening from the other half of the draw, the title is hers to win or lose.
Sharapova advances into the last eight on convincing form. Dropping just three games to Pervak to open her campaign, she was then tested by Pironkova in a 7-5, 6-2 victory. In the third round, Sharapova demolished Paula Omaechea 6-0, 6-0.
Samantha Stosur gave Sharapova her sternest test of the competition yet, winning the first set of their R16 encounter. Sharapova, however, the true fighter she is, stormed back to win in three, 3-6, 6-4, 6-0.
Standing in her way of the semi-finals is Garbine Murguruza – the giant-slayer that dismissed Serena Williams in the second round by playing lights-out tennis, and then backed it up with convincing, straight set wins over Anna Schmiedlova and Pauline Parmentier.
Garbine Murguruza is through to her first-ever Grand Slam quarterfinal, but it’s interesting to note that she’s not listed amongst the long shots for the title. In fact, she cuts a surprisingly modest figure at +1200 to win the title, in spite of not only her obvious lack of experience at this level, but also rather meagre collection of trophies. To date, Murguruza has one WTA title (Hobart 2014).
Tennis Betting Verdict
On paper, Sharapova has the considerable edge over Murguruza, which lends itself to favourable odds on the Russian starlet. She’s listed as the -400 favourite to win outright, a solid vote of confidence across sportsbook platforms supported by her Grand Slam credentials, amongst other things.
Yet it’s hard to ignore Muguruza’s substantial, clay-court prowess. The Spaniard was raised on the stuff, you could say. She also brings a power-game to the table, which is a match for Sharapova’s, if it was good enough to beat only the best player in the world Serena Williams. These two aspects make Murguruza a very tempting prospect for your tennis pick at +300 odds to win outright.
Muguruza is the real deal. One assumes that Sharapova’s experience will prove deciding, but Muguruza does have a shot at the upset, or at the very least to push this match to three sets, which can be backed either at +250 for Sharapova to win 2-1, or at +700 for Muguruza to win 2-1.
Tennis Free Picks: Sharapova to win outright at -400 and at +250 to win 2-1
Carla Suarez Navarro vs. Eugenie Bouchard
Analysis: The clash between Carla Suarez-Navarro and Eugenie Bouchard is a wide-open affair, with either player presenting good tennis betting value to advance. Indeed, it’s a tight tennis betting line that these damsels sit on, with the Spaniard settling on +100, and Bouchard nosing ahead at -125. In outright win markets, however, Bouchard ranks amongst the top four favourites at +800 while Suarez-Navarro is a big price contender at +2000.
Canada’s rising star, Eugenie Bouchard, is enjoying a sensational year, particularly on the Grand Slam stage. Some of her year’s highlights: reaching the Australian Open semi-finals to start the season, and winning her maiden WTA title just before the French Open. Now, she’s a match-win away from accomplishing a second straight Grand Slam semi-final.
Spain’s Carla Suarez Navarro was born on the red stuff. Like most Spanish grinders, she’s tough to beat when playing on her beloved clay. What’s more, she leads the head-to-head against Bouchard 1-0, having beaten the Canadian at Wimbledon last year 7-5, 6-2.
Tennis Betting Verdict: Carla Suarez Navarro has the surface edge going into this match. She also ranks slighter higher than Bouchard does. Odds makers are tipping her as the underdog regardless of these advantages.
Bouchard cuts an attractive figure. There’s a lot about her game that is appealing, one aspect of which has earned her recognition amongst experts, and pundits alike as a champion in the making; that is, her competitive, "never-say-die" attitude on court – something sorely lacking in the WTA front.
It’s a coin toss between these two players in more ways than one, but if we were to lean towards a tennis pick here it would be Carla Suarez-Navarro. The pressure is going to be entirely on Bouchard to replicate her Cinderella run into the semis at the Australian Open, and even beyond. Carla Suarez Navarro will be playing without such burden of expectation, which could let her swing more freely.
Free Tennis Picks: Carla Suarez Navarro to win outright at +100; to win 2-1 at +350