Tennis Betting: Can Andy Murray Seize The Great Draw In Indian Wells?

Joao Mourato

Friday, March 10, 2017 8:34 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 10, 2017 8:34 PM UTC

Join us on our BNP Paribas Open tournament analysis that takes place in Indian Wells. Find out which player should benefit from the draw as well as the player to keep an eye on this event.

ATP Indian Wells

The BNP Paribas Open takes place in Indian Wells with Hard Court as the chosen surface.


Quarter of Death

The 4th quarter of the BNP Paribas Open main draw is probably the strongest quarter ever on the ATP World Tour history. Apart from the defending champion – Novak Djokovic – Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal, Juan Martin Del Potro, Nick Kyrgios and Alexander Zverev will all fight for a place in the semifinals on this side of the draw.

Djokovic is the main favorite to win this quarter with BetVictor offering +125 for the Serbian to reach the semifinals. However, it’s hard to trust on the Serbian at the time after his disappointing performances in recent weeks. On the other hand, Nadal is returning to his best level and the high bouncing conditions in Indian Wells clearly suit his heavy topspin forehand.

Taking a look now to Rafael’s potential opponents on this event, the Spaniard might face Federer in the 4th round. Despite Roger’s recent victory in the Australian Open Final, we expect a different outcome this time with Federer unable to handle Nadal’s forehand on these high bouncing conditions. Therefore, we suggest adding Nadal to your betting picks to defeat Federer if the two meet in the 4th round with -167 as the bottom line price to get involved in this match.


Lucky Andy

Besides the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters, the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells is the other ATP Masters 1000 event left on Andy Murray’s resume. Despite his tremendous success on Hard Court throughout his career, Andy always struggled with the high bouncing conditions on the Californian desert. However, it’s unlikely to see Murray wasting this golden opportunity since most of his rivals are on the other half of the draw.

Looking now at Andy’s draw on this event, Stan Wawrinka and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga are the main threats on his half. Even though Wawrinka is always a fearful opponent, the Swiss is far from reliable on Masters 1000 events with a poor 58.37% winning record throughout his career. On the other hand, it won’t be easy for Tsonga to present his tennis since his girlfriend is expecting to give birth to their first child in the next weeks and there were some doubts about his attendance in Indian Wells.

Due to the easy draw ahead of him, there is clear value on Murray’s betting odds to reach the final at -111 at Bet365.


Player to Keep an Eye

While some players struggle with the game conditions in Indian Wells, other love to compete on this event. John Isner is one of those with the 6’10’’ American holding a phenomenal 20 – 9 career record on this tournament. Famous for his powerful serve, it’s almost impossible to break Isner on this high bouncing conditions. Besides his outstanding record, John already featured some epic upsets on this event with the highlight going to his victory over Novak Djokovic back in 2012.

Looking now at Isner’s draw on this event, the 2012 runner-up shouldn’t experience any major problems on his debut against Mikhail Kukushkin. However, the following rounds won’t be easy against world class opponents such as Gael Monfils and Dominic Thiem. Despite Monfils and Thiem’s undeniable quality, the American is definitely a valuable bet since he should be the underdog against any of these two opponents. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to keep an eye on Isner’s campaign in Indian Wells because he might be a great investment in the following rounds. 

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