Tap into Your Strategy Skills to Pick Winner of Starcraft2

SBR Staff

Thursday, November 1, 2018 5:55 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 1, 2018 5:55 PM UTC

The playoffs of the biggest annual StarCraft2 tournament have arrived. There were a couple surprises in the group stage, but not many. Let's look closer at how it breaks down!

It's one thing to predict who will win a map or series, it is quite another trying to make money off of it. I was reminded of that firsthand in the group stage trying to find value in heavy Korean favorites or valuable foreigners who either won too easily or were destroyed quickly.

Now we have the eitght best players of the 2018 circuit ready to put on a show in a series of best-of-five maps. I am expecting the best to rise, and as always, some surprises along the way.

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📣 #BlizzCon is not only hosting an ultimate StarCraft 2 competition... it also boasts a match of the ages for StarCraft: Remastered as two champions face off in the #KSLvsASL Showmatch!

Are you cheering for the #KSL Season 1 Champion: 'Last' ???? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/vtlmsT9WSv

— StarCraft Esports (@esportstarcraft) November 1, 2018
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Maru vs. s0s

We have an opening round matchup of two SC2 teammates. Given the quality of these two players you might think it is a frequent occurrence, however it really hasn't been. These two players have rarely been in top form at the same time and this matchup is no different.

Maru is considered by most to be the undisputed No. 1 or No. 2 player (can't write off Serral) through this entire 2018 circuit. The group stage was no different, winning 2-0 back-to-back without breaking a sweat. His Protoss teammate on the other hand, looked very poor, almost weak. The series against Heromarine was one to forget. If s0s had played anyone else there he probably would have been eliminated. However, if we go back through his historical matches, s0s has been one of the only protoss players to take a series off of Maru in 2018. Not only that, but he's pushed him to the limit and ace map on two other occasions.

Now there's two ways to approach this match. Either the s0s we saw in the group stage shows up here and loses 3-0 before you can even say "my life for aiur!," or he gets inside Maru's head and finds a way to push one of the best to the limit once more on the biggest stage. I like the price on the latter.

Best Bet: s0s (+1.5) @ +137 Bet365

Stats vs. Special

I was tempted to pull the trigger on the Stats -1.5 when I saw the numbers. However after seeing Special's excellent performance against another elite protoss in Classic, had to respect that Special could possibly take Stats down. The one thing preventing me from wagering on Special on the spread is that he has struggled mightily against Stats in previous encounters. Are past events a predication of future ones? No, but they offer indication. So I am willing to give Special the benefit of the doubt here in a best-of-five, but as is the norm ... the foreigner will fall.

Best Bet: Stats to win 3-1 or 3-2 @ -102 Bet365

Rogue vs. TY

This is not a novel matchup, but it sure is (on paper) the tightest one of the quarterfinals. In fact, this is a rematch of the WCS 2017 semifinal where Rogue defeated his terran counterpart enroute to his Blizzcon title. Pretty sure TY is aware of that too.

This is actually interesting as TY has been every bit up to the task of beating Rogue, however he has never done so in a best-of-five series offline on the two occassions they did face. It has been commented through Rogue's many good tournaments that he excels at bo5 and bo7's. He has the ability to adjust map to map, which all players do to an extent, but his builds are perhaps more unpredictable.

Without a doubt he is an excellent big tournament player. His 2018 success has been overshadowed by Maru, which is perhaps how he likes it!

Best Bet: Rogue (ml) @ 1.75 [2u] Betway

I have no play right now for the Serral vs. Dark match. Think it would be wise to see some more lines as well. At the time of writing this only Bet365 offered more than moneyline markets, but I recommend waiting until a couple hours before matches begin to see if there is anything better at an SBR approved book!

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