Sunday's Davis Cup Final Betting Analysis: Murray vs. Goffin as Top Match

João Mourato

Saturday, November 28, 2015 7:21 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 28, 2015 7:21 PM UTC

Everything will be decided this Sunday on Davis Cup. Join us while we analyze tomorrow’s matches, the best tennis bets and who should leave Ghent with the trophy.

After winning the doubles match this Saturday, Great Britain is now one win away from lifting Davis Cup trophy. As we predicted in our Saturday preview, the Belgian doubles team suffered some changes, however the chosen to play with Steve Darcis was David Goffin, instead of Ruben Bemelmans. The contest was closer than odds predicted, but the Murray brothers managed to emerge victorious in four sets.


Sunday Analysis
Everything will be decided this Sunday with Great Britain as the massive favorite to claim the title. Let’s take a closer look on tomorrow matches.


David Goffin vs. Andy Murray
It was far from an easy first match for Goffin against Kyle Edmund on Friday. The Belgian found himself two sets down, but raised his level in order to emerge victorious by 3 – 6 1 – 6 6 – 2 6 – 1 6 – 0.

Murray had a much easier debut on Friday, dismissing Bemelmans in straight sets and finishing the match with 27 winners and 15 unforced errors.

There is only one possible outcome for Goffin on this match, victory. If the Belgian team loses this match the title will go to Great Britain, which leaves David with a tremendous task on his hands. This will be the third meeting between these two players with Murray winning the two previous meetings in straight sets. Their latest encounter occurred couple weeks ago in Paris, where Andy crushed Goffin by 6 – 1 6 – 0.

These are two great baseline players, but Andy is just at a higher level and there isn’t much Goffin can do against this opponent. Despite being the better player, there isn’t value on Andy -8.0 spread tennis odds for this contest. This will be a very tough match from the emotional point of view and might be possible to catch a lower spread line in-play. Our suggestion is to wait for an opportunity to place a bet on Murray during the match, if he gets a break down earlier in the set our advice is to add Andy to win that set to your tennis picks.


Ruben Bemelmans vs. Kyle Edmund
It’s quite unlikely that this match takes place because Andy should solve the final on 4th rubber and 5th rubber won’t be played. Nonetheless, if a 5th rubber is needed the value on current tennis odds is clearly on Bemelmans (+199) at Pinnacle.

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