Sunday Premier League Soccer Pick: Manchester City vs. Southampton

Lee Phelps

Friday, May 22, 2015 3:16 PM GMT

Friday, May. 22, 2015 3:16 PM GMT

It's an irrestible attack against an immovable defence at the Etihad and William Hill's Lee Phelps is looking for a bet from the odds on offer. Check out the article for his free soccer pick.

Luckily for Manchester City and Southampton there is nothing on this final match of the season, because it’s a tough one to call. Unluckily for me, I have to call it!

As well as the Saints have done this season, they are still 16 points behind this weekend’s opponents going in to the game, which shows the chasm between being a top seven side and a top three team.

 

Manchester City
Manuel Pellegrini’s players have hit form over the last month, but it is obviously too little too late. They have won five in a row, scoring 16 and conceding four, with goals from all over the pitch.

Manchester City have won their last three PL home games against Southampton, this after losing the three beforehand and usually do well on the last day of the season, winning three of their last four final day games in the Premier League.

My weekly winning bet on Sergio Aguero came to an end last week, when he failed to get any of the four they scored, but don’t be surprised if he adds to his 25 goals in this game.

Another man who has had a great campaign is David Silva. He has already scored more league goals this season (12) than the previous two campaigns combined (11).

I’m expecting goals from City here despite Saints’ excellent defensive record, which I will outline soon. They are almost certain to be the top scoring team in the Premier League for the third time in the last four campaigns. And one interesting stat shows City are the only team not to draw 0-0 this season.

 

Southampton
According to soccer odds and despite the Opta stats telling us that Saints have found the back of the net on each of their last nine trips to Manchester City in the Premier League, I don’t see them scoring here. They haven’t performance particularly well against the other top six clubs and their goals tally away from him show just 17.

They still have the best away defence having conceded just 18 and I think they will make it hard for the home team without getting anything out of the match.

One of the problems for them in front of goal has been only one of Graziano Pelle's 12 goals this season has come away from home and although hat-trick hero Sadio Mane was fantastic last week, he has not scored in consecutive Premier League appearances since January.

Next season this is the area Ronald Koeman needs to strengthen, because if they can add consistent goals to their defending they could be a top five team.

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Soccer Pick
Given City’s scoring record and the Southampton defensive abilities, I think we will see a tight game. Saints have drawn 1-1 on the last day of the season for the past two campaigns, but actually I don’t see them getting a goal here and will go with City to win and under 2.5 goals as my Sunday soccer pick.

Free Soccer Pick: Manchester City win and Under 2.5 goals 5.0 (4/1) at Bet365.

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