Strict Criteria May Winnow The Democratic Debate Field

Friday, August 2, 2019 12:21 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 2, 2019 12:21 PM UTC

Some of the usual suspects in the past two debates of Democrats to who want to face U.S. President Donald Trump in the 2020 election may be on the verge of falling out of the race.
<p>If the last two (or four) debates between the Democratic hopefuls for president have proven anything, it’s that it is time to thin the herd.</p><p>Twenty candidates over two nights, twice, is enough, don't you think? It's OK, you can disagree. But Sen. Elizabeth Warren has yet to be on the same stage with frontrunner, former Vice President Joe Biden. Let's see that happen.</p><p>And considering all the incoming he took, seems like many wannabe Democratic nominees thought there was an 11<sup>th</sup> person on stage Wednesday night – President Barack Obama.</p><p>Apparently <a href="http://;book=BetOnline" target="_blank" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a> feels the same way as it is offering odds on which candidates will drop out first.</p><div>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;See the Democratic debates get the Motown treatment on &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#LSSC&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Rolling Stone (@RollingStone) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;August 2, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt; &lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</div><div> </div><p>The next debate is scheduled, again, to cover two nights: Sept. 12-13 in Houston, Texas.</p><p>This debate however has stricter criteria to make the stage, so if 10 or fewer candidates qualify the debate will be a one-nighter.</p><p>Candidates have several benchmarks that need to be hit by Aug. 28 to ensure they’ll be debating in Houston. Those criteria are 130,000 “unique” donors and log at least two percent support in four polls.</p><p>According to analysts, the criteria is tough to hit and nearly half the candidates could fall short. A New York Times analysis of donor numbers and polls shows that no more than a dozen will make it to Houston.</p><p>So far, seven are shoo-ins: former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey, South Bend (Ind.) Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Sen. Kamala Harris of California, former Rep. Beto O’Rourke of Texas, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts.</p><p>Those on the cusp of being on stage are: Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, former HUD Secretary Julian Castro and entrepreneur Andrew Yang.</p><p>Those struggling to remain behind a podium are impeachment supporter Tom Steyer, Rep. Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii and former Gov. John Hickenlooper of Colorado.</p><p>The remaining candidates who have a lot of work to do because, right now, they aren’t remotely close to being on the Houston stage are: Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet, Montana Gov. Steve Bullock, New York Mayor Bill De Blasio, Maryland Rep. John Delaney, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, Washington Gov. Jay Inslee, Miramar (FL) Mayor Wayne Messam, Massachusetts Rep. Seth Moulton, Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan, former Pennsylvania Rep. Joe Stestak, and author Marianne Williamson.</p><p><a href="http://;book=BetOnline" target="_blank" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">The wagers on BetOnline are</a>:</p><p><strong>Which candidate will drop out first?</strong></p><ul> <li> <p>Beto O'Rourke +100</p> </li> <li> <p>Julian Castro -140</p> </li></ul><p><strong>Which candidate will drop out first?</strong></p><ul> <li> <p>Cory Booker -200</p> </li> <li> <p>Andrew Yang +150</p> </li></ul><p><strong>Which candidate will drop out first?</strong></p><ul> <li> <p>Kirsten Gillibrand -300</p> </li> <li> <p>Tulsi Gabbard +200</p> </li></ul><p><strong>Which candidate will drop out first?</strong></p><ul> <li> <p>Bill De Blasio +150</p> </li> <li> <p>John Hickenlooper +200</p> </li> <li> <p>Michael Bennet +200</p> </li> <li> <p>Tim Ryan +400</p> </li> <li> <p>John Delaney +700</p> </li></ul>
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