Stoke City Has Good Value in Premier League Match vs. Brighton

Stuart Woodrow

Wednesday, February 7, 2018 9:55 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 7, 2018 9:55 PM UTC

There have been great games in the Premier League recently and this weekend is no exception. Let's check out three matches and try to cash some tickets.

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]Premier League: Weekend Rundown and Best Picks

One of this weekend's best games is Saturday’s North London Derby between Tottenham and Arsenal at Wembley, and later in the day champions-elect Manchester City will welcome recent champions Leicester to Etihad Stadium. I don’t have any bets on those games and I know you’re primarily interested in the matches I have identified value in, so let’s get stuck into those.

Saturday: Stoke City vs. BrightonFree Premier League Pick: Stoke City +122Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3222347, "sportsbooksIds":[238,93,1096,169,1275], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

This game looks like it should be quite tight, with the statistics not showing a lot of light between the teams. I think Stoke will win this one relatively easily at home. Stoke is not the same side that struggled earlier in the season. The appointment of Paul Lambert as manager was a good choice and one that will see them survive, in my opinion. That might not be something we’ll be able to say about Brighton at the end of this season. With the numbers on the soccer odds board, I think there is good value on the home win here.

Saturday: West Ham vs. WatfordFree Premier League Pick: Watford +200Best Line Offered: BetVictor

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3222305, "sportsbooksIds":[999996,180,1096,93,1275], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

This time I’m backing the away side as Watford travels to West Ham. These are two more clubs that have changed managers this season, and although I recognize the need for both changes, I would have preferred Marco Silva to stay in his job a little longer. Javi Gracia has made a decent start to life as Watford manager, though, and if they do win (as I expect) this weekend it will breathe some more impetus into a club that seemed to be stumbling.

Sunday: Newcastle vs. Manchester UnitedFree Premier League Pick: Manchester United -147Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3222285, "sportsbooksIds":[238,93,999996,180,1275], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

For this one the stats and the value all line up to make one really good bet. Manchester United is the clear favorite, with an advantage in pretty much every metric I measure. Combine that with some value in the odds market and you have a bet that most people will be happy to take. After a recent stumble, Manchester United will be very aware they cannot afford any more slip-ups if they want to cement a top-four place.

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