Southampton vs. Liverpool EPL Soccer Pick: Betting Trends Give Edge to Home Team this Sunday

Nikki Adams

Saturday, February 21, 2015 8:16 PM GMT

Saturday, Feb. 21, 2015 8:16 PM GMT

Southampton & Liverpool collide on Sunday's round of top-flight action. Here's a preview of this anticipated clash, laden with implications towards the race for a Top 4 finish and our soccer picks.

Southampton Under The Cosh
Southampton currently own fourth place in Barclay's Premier League table behind a 14-4-7 mark and 46 points, but they are under the cosh right now with three teams nipping at their heels and, all of sudden, looking as if they may be finally exposed as the overachievers they really are.

Southampton's improbable rise up the Premier League table is a triumph of the collective. During the summer transfer window, Liverpool plundered the Saints' locker room and traipsed off with the best players they could get their hands on, all of which were celebrated (nothing but the best for Brendan Rogers, eh?) for their performance that raised Southampton's profile in the table before ultimately settling into an eighth place finish by season end. Any ambition the Saints may have entertained to either replicate or better their account this season was deemed a long shot. How could a side left so bereft at the start of the season, conspicuous for its lack of star power and any recognisable talent, possibly strike an audible chord? When the Saints opened their season at Anfield Stadium (an ironic scheduling twist if ever there was one) and lost 2-1, those sceptics had the joyful validation they'd hoped for, the cathartic release to say "told you so."

Needless to say, one fixture doesn't make or break a season. We are now deep inside the second half of the season, with just 13 games to go, and the Saints continue to defy those critics and the soccer odds. Meanwhile, Liverpool are trying to play catch up, sat in seventh place with a 12-6-7 record and 42 points, four back of Southampton.

 

Liverpool Playing Catch Up
To be fair, Liverpool are contending with a tougher schedule with the added commitment of playing in European club competition (Champions League in the first half of the season and a second bite at Europe's coveted cherry this half of the term with UEFA Europa League). The strain of battling on multiple fronts can take its toll on any team, including top class teams.

In fact, Liverpool are just coming off a win over Besiktas in R32 UEFA Europa League betting, albeit a rather fortuitous 1-0 win thanks to a contentious penalty goal. For most of the game, the Turks had Liverpool under the cosh, and Demba Ba very nearly proved to be a thorn in Liverpool's  side once again, only for his strike to go just wide of the goal.

Still, Liverpool backers will be growing in confidence after this latest victory, which extends their side's run of positive form to six straight games undefeated (5-1-0) across several competitions. Since the New Year, they've lost just one of their last 13 games (8-4-1).

 

Southampton vs. Liverpool Match Betting Tips and Picks
There's a lot to recommend both sides on your soccer picks  in this game. Both sides have form since the second half of the season got underway, which means there will be no shortage of confidence in either camp. Southampton have the home advantage, promtping their slightly favourbale +163 soccer odds. What's more, they'll be keen to atone for their season opening defeat at Anfield and draw the series level at home. Since losing to Man United 3-0 at the Old Trafford, Liverpool's away form has been impressive behind three wins and a draw, not to mention all of which were clean sheets and give a good account of the Reds' defence. There's an argument to be had about the quality of opposition in those fixtures, none of which were top-half opponents . Southampton is by far their biggest road test this side of the term. Hence, their heft +190 soccer odds to win outright. It's actually tempting to back Liverpool  on those soccer odds, but the trend between these two teams reveals a tendency to give as good as you get, prompting us to recommend the hosts instead on your soccer picks.

In the last two seasons, they've split their meetings. In 2012-2013, each side won its home fixture. The following season, they split the series again with each side winning on the road. This term, Liverpool have the edge with a win at Anfield. It follows, if the trend holds true, Southampton are due a win on Sunday.

Soccer Picks: Southampton +165

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