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Denny Hamlin, driver of the #11 FedEx Freight Toyota, drives during the NASCAR Cup Series Bank of America Roval 400 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 09, 2022 in Concord, North Carolina.
Denny Hamlin, driver of the #11 FedEx Freight Toyota, drives during the NASCAR Cup Series Bank of America Roval 400 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 09, 2022 in Concord, North Carolina. Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images via AFP.

The Round of 8 is officially underway in Las Vegas. Find out which drivers we are rolling with in the first leg in our South Point 400 picks and preview.

There are now only eight drivers left in contention for the NASCAR title after yet another chaotic knockout race last week in Charlotte. Defending champion Kyle Lason was relegated to the field after his untimely elimination last Sunday. He has won in Las Vegas before and he will look to steal a win this week from the remaining championship contenders. 

Here are our picks for the South Point 400 based on the odds at our top-rated sportsbooks.

South Point 400 Info

Where: Las Vegas Motor Speedway, Las Vegas, NV
When: Sunday, Oct. 16, 2:30 p.m. ET
How to watch: NBC
Defending champion: Denny Hamlin

South Point 400 Odds

Denny Hamlin+550+550+550
Christopher Bell+800+800+800
Chase Elliott+800+800+800
Tyler Reddick+900+950+900
Ross Chastain+900+900+1000
Kyle Larson+900+850+800
William Byron+1000+1200+1200
Ryan Blaney+1000+1100+1200
Kyle Busch+1200+1200+1000
Martin Truex Jr.+1200+1200+1200

South Point 400 Picks

Who Will Win the South Point 400?

Hamlin (+550)

Before his 32nd-place finish here in the spring, Denny Hamlin put together three straight top 4 finishes in Las Vegas. He enters this weekend as the winner of the last South Point 400 taking home the checkered flag in 2021. The No. 11 car has led 354 laps on this track. A majority of those have happened over his last four races. Hamlin led 121 laps of the 2020 South Point 400 and 137 in his victory last fall.

The driver of the FedEx Toyota is still in the hunt for the championship but starts this round five points outside the cut line. Last week, Hamlin finished in 13th place at the Roval snapping a string of five top-10 finishes. He has six top-10 finishes at intermediate tracks this season including a win and two second-place showings.

Larson (+900)

Last week, Larson was eliminated from the playoffs. Now, all that is left for the defending NASCAR champion is to try and win races. His No. 5 car has visited victory lane in Las Vegas already having won the 2021 spring race. Larson has run well on this track making 12 career starts between the No. 42 and No. 5 cars. He has nine top 10 finishes with three of them inside the top 3. This spring, he was the runner-up to teammate Alex Bowman on this track.

It has been a rough stretch for Larson over the last two races. He finished 18th or worse in both outings. Before that though, he had enjoyed four top-10 finishes in six races, including a win at Watkins Glen. He has six top 10 finishes at intermediate tracks this season including the second place here in March as well as a runner-up finish in Kansas.

Keselowski (+10000)

Brad Keselowski’s first season in the No. 6 car has been highly underwhelming. In 32 races, he has managed just five top-10 finishes. His average finishing position this season is just under 19th place. However, last month he managed to put together two solid runs on intermediate tracks and finished inside the top 10 at both Texas and Darlington.

Keselowski has a shot to finish this season strong on a track in which he has enjoyed a great deal of success. He has made 18 career starts here and has three wins included in his 12 top-10 and eight top-5 finishes. He has led 316 laps at Las Vegas Motor Speedway to place him eighth on the all-time list.

Where to Bet on South Point 400 Picks

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South Point 400 picks made 10/13/2022 at 3:01 p.m. ET