Sor Rungvisai-Estrada Title Bout a Coin Flip ... or Is It?

Jason Lake

Tuesday, February 20, 2018 9:30 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 20, 2018 9:30 PM UTC

Saturday’s super flyweight title fight between Srisaket Sor Rungvisai and Juan Francisco Estrada is a saw-off on the boxing odds board, but are they equally matched?

Saturday Boxing: Sor Rungvisai vs. EstradaFree Boxing Pick: Sor Rungvisai +115Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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Are we in the early days of a boxing renaissance? Probably not, but there’s definitely a thirst for combat sports and we managed to make a profit with last week’s boxing picks, thanks to George Groves and his well-earned decision win over Chris Eubank Jr. in the World Boxing Super Series super-middleweight semis. We had Groves at +165; he was down to +150 by bell time.

Here’s another interesting fight coming up Saturday at the Fabulous Forum in Inglewood, California: Srisaket Sor Rungvisai (a k a Wisaksil Wangek) will put his WBC super flyweight title on the line against Juan Francisco Estrada. Both fighters are listed at -110 on the boxing odds board, which makes our job a lot easier – all we have to do is pick the better fighter. Okay, it’s not quite that easy, but close enough.

The Mighty Hammer of Sor

Sor Rungvisai (44-4-1, 40 KOs) is about as good as it gets at 115 pounds. He’s No. 1 in the division at BoxRec and No. 2 at The Ring, which will award its vacant version of the title to Saturday’s winner. Not only that, Sor Rungvisai is No. 5 on the pound-for-pound rankings at BoxRec, and No. 10 at The Ring. Sheer quality.

Estrada (36-2, 25 KOs) is no tomato can. He’s the former WBA and WBO flyweight champion, vacating those titles in 2016 so he wouldn’t have to cut to 112 pounds anymore. Estrada will still be the naturally larger man in Saturday’s fight, but can he handle the step up in competition? His unanimous decision over Carlos Cuadras (+120) was a very close comeback victory. And rankings-wise, Estrada is No. 5 at super-middleweight and No. 45 pound-for-pound at BoxRec. The Ring has him one spot behind Sor Rungvisai at No. 3 in their division.

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If Sor Rungvisai can detrhrone both Roman and Estrada in 12 months, that's a hell of a statement. That would be my #1 p4p guy.

— adam abramowitz (@snboxing) February 20, 2018

So why is this fight a saw-off? And why have early bettors pushed Estrada’s odds from +110 to -110? Well, Sor Rungvisai does get into trouble with headbutts every once in a while. And Estrada has the technical edge as well as the size advantage. But only one of these gentlemen has a win over the esteemed Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez, and it’s Sor Rungvisai, who took the title off Gonzalez (-2900) last March, then knocked him out in their rematch six months later as the +210 underdog. Estrada lost a WBA light flyweight title bout to Gonzalez in 2012 by unanimous decision. We’ll follow the transitive theory of boxing and take Sor Rungvisai, thank you kindly.

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