Soccer Predictions - MLS Offers Value Across The Board This Weekend

NY Red Bulls players celebrating during a game

Friday, September 16, 2016 2:00 PM GMT

We have another full schedule of 10 MLS Regular Season matches this weekend with a fixture Friday night, seven more Saturday, followed by two more games on Sunday. Let’s try to rebound after a dismal 8-13 slog here last week with hopefully more profitable MLS picks for our open-minded Sportsbook Review readership.

Friday, September 16, 2016

Chicago Fire vs. DC United
The Chicago Fire (6-8-13, 33 GF-42 GA) and David Accam (7 goals) play host to DC United (12-7-9, 37 GF-38 GA) in suburban Chicagoland on Friday night (UniMás (US), MLS Live (CAN)) in this Eastern Conference fixture and MLS Regular Season Week 28 lid-lifter. The L5 meetings here reveals (DCU 6-2 CHI, CHI 1-1 DCU, DCU 4-0 CHI, CHI 0-1 DCU, DC 3-2 CHI) DC United to be an unbeaten 4-1-0, outscoring the Fire, 15-5 in the process with both games in Chicagoland going Over and all three matches in DC going Under. With Lamar Neagle (6 goals) and DC United (50/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) having some immense perceived value in the Draw No Bet marketplace (DCU +268 Draw No Bet atMarathon), fading Chicago (150/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) here seems well worth the shot.

MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score (Yes) -125
Best Line Offered: at Bet365 which offers 100% Cash Bonus!

MLS Picks: DC United Draw No Bet +268 (Marathon)
Final Score Prediction: Fire 1 DC United 2

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Saturday, September 17, 2016

Seattle Sounders vs. Vancouver Whitecaps
The Seattle Sounders (9-5-13, 33 GF-37 GA) play host to the Vancouver Whitecaps (9-7-13, 37 GF-45 GA) in this latest edition of the Cascadia Cup on Saturday afternoon in The Emerald City (MLS Live, TSN, RDS2 (CAN) JOEtv (US). The L5 meetings in this Western Conference series (SEA 1-2 VAN, VAN 0-3 SEA, SEA 0-3 VAN, VAN 0-2 SEA, SEA 0-1 VAN) reveals that the Road club has won a freakish 5 straight with 4 of the L5 results being Clean Sheets for the visitors. This is not La Liga, bruh. And the Over has been profitable, W3 here in games that all landed on exactly 3 goals. So Jordan Morris (9 goals) and the Sounders (50/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) may be a bit overvalued in the role of big Home chalk here against Pedro Morales (6 goals) and the Whitecaps (80/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops), but this one seems best left alone.


Final Score Prediction: Sonders 1 Whitecaps 1

 

Portland Timbers vs. Philadelphia Union
Fanendo Adi (14 goals) and the MLS champion Portland Timbers (10-9-9, 43 GF-44 GA) play host to the upstart Philadelphia Union (8-7-13, 34 GF-44 GA) on Saturday (11-8-10, 48 GF-45 GA) in a big inter-conference match from Rose City and important fixture for the hosts who sit in 6th place in the Western Conference with 38 points heading in. The L5 meetings in this series (PHI 3-0 POR, POR 1-1 PHI, PHI 0-0 POR, POR 3-1 PHI, PHI 0-0 POR) reveals the Home team an unbeaten (3-2-0, W-D-L) with 3 Unders in the L5 meetings. The Timbers (25/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) are 2-1-0 lifetime (5 GF-2 GA) in Portland against Philadelphia. Some things the Union (28/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) will have to be dealing with here are the 3 Hours they will lose traveling from Pennsylvania (EDT) to Washington (PDT), sleeping in a Hotel room with empty hangers and then playing on a fairly unfamiliar pitch for many of these players. The Timbers (10-2-3, 32 GF-30 GA at Home) have always had a great advantage at Home in the MLS, tucked aways in the Pacific Northwest with Bill Gates and Sasquatch, and with Chris Pontius (10 goals) and the Union (3-4-7, 18 GF-25 GA on Road) such a feisty side, there could end up being some goals scored in this game. Saw Joey, saw.

Free MLS Pick: Timbers and Over 2½ -118
Best Line Offered: at Intertops
Final Score Prediction: Timbers 2 Union 1

*Note: Timbers' line opened at -105 trading now at -125

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NYCFC vs. FC Dallas, Yankee Stadium Bronx
The marquee match of MLS Week 28 sees David Villa (18 goals), Frank Lampard (12 goals) and NYCFC (12-8-9, 49 GF-50 GA) hosting Western Conference leaders FC Dallas (15-6-8, 45 GF-37 GA) to The House That Ruth Built (Yankee Stadium) on Saturday night (MLS Live, TXA, TWCSC-TX, YES (US), Sky Sports 2/HD (UK)) in what should be a fun watch and what looks like a game to back the Over in the Totals market with FCD (+550 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) having scored 45 and NYCFC 49 goals so far this season. With NYCFC just expanding into the MLS last season, these two clubs have only played one time with FC Dallas winning 2-1 last season at Home in Frisco, Texas. Both NYCFC (7/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) and FC Dallas (5-2-7, 15 GF-26 GA on Road) are much better clubs this season and could both win the title, in other words the safest MLS Picks.


Free MLS Pick: NYCFC -118, Over 2½ -143 at Intertops
Final Score Prediction: NYCFC 3 FC Dallas


MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score (Yes) -167
Best Line Offered: at Bet365

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Orlando City SC vs. Columbus Crew
Brazilian legend Kaká (8 goals) and Orlando City (7-13-8, 47 GF-49 GA) play host to Ola Kamara (11 goals) and the 10th-place Columbus Crew (5-11-11, 36 GF-45 GA) on Saturday afternoon (MLS Live, TV27, TWCS-OHIO, CW Columbus) in Disney World in a big Eastern Conference fixture for the hosts who sit just 1 point (34-33) ahead of both the 7th-place New England Revolution and 8th-place DC United heading into MLS Week 28 action. With Orlando SC (5-7-2, 26 GF-22 GA at Home) just expanding into the MLS last season, these two clubs have only played 4 times in MLS play (CREW 2-2 OCSC, OCSC 5-2 CREW, OCSC 2-2 CREW, CREW 3-0 OCSC) with Columbus (1-3-8, 10 GF-20 GA on Road) and Kevin Molino (10 goals) and Cyle Larin (13 goals) and OCSC—which has remarkably scored a goal in 21 of its L22 games in all competitions—each having registered a Win and a Draw on Home soil in 3 of 4 Overs. Here, at the current (American odds) price of Even money (+100) (2.00 Decimal, 1/1 Fractional), backing both OCSC and the Over in the Sunshine State seems very logical.
Final Score Prediction: Orlando City 4 Columbus 2

Free MLS Pick: Orlando City +100, Over 2½ -154 at Intertops
MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score (Yes) -187
Best Line Offered: at Coral

*Note: Orlando City's line opened at +100 trading now at +105

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Montreal Impact vs. New England Revolution
Didier Drogba (9 goals), Ignacio Piatti (14 goals) and the Montreal Impact (9-11-8, 42 GF-43 GA) welcome Lee Nguyen (6 goals), Juan Agudelo (5 goals), Kai Kamara (4 goals) and the New England Revolution (8-9-12, 34 GF-48 GA) to the province of Québec on Saturday night for a big Eastern Conference match for both clubs, but probably more so for the Revs (1-5-8, 14 GF-30 GA) who sit that aforementioned 1 point away from the Postseason Redline (6th place) in the conference. The L5 meetings in this series (MTL 3-2 NE, NE 0-1 MTL, MTL 3-0 NE, NE 0-0 MTL, MTL 2-2 NE) reveals some handicapping gems with the Impact (6-4-4, 25 GF-23 GA) going an unbeaten 3-2-0 the L5 in this series, outscoring New England, 9-4 in the process and winning the L3 in a row. Also, the L3 in Montreal have gone Over, averaging 4.0 gpg and the Revolution have been shut out 3 times over that span. Not good. Back Drogba and the Impact if you want here but tread lightly here as their Form hasn’t been great of late (LLDWLD) and New England comes in on a modest 2-game win streak and that Fear of not making the Postseason.

Final Score Prediction: Impact 2 Revolution 1
Free MLS Pick: Impact -105, Over 2½ -125
Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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Colorado Rapids vs. San Jose Earthquakes
The Dick is the site of this big Western Conference showdown between Tim Howard and the 3rd-place Colorado Rapids (12-10-5, 29 GF-24 GA) and Chris Wondolowski (10 goals) and 8th-place San Jose Earthquakes (7-12-8, 27 GF-30 GA) in a match much more important to the visitors who sit 6 points out of Playoffs range as the MLS Regular Season begins to wind down. The L7 meetings in this series (SJ 1-0 COL, SJ 1-0 COL, COL 1-1 SJ, COL 1-1 SJ, SJ 0-0 COL, COL 0-0 SJ, SJ 1-0 COL) reveals 7 straight semi-easy Unders, 4 Draws and neither side scoring 2 goals in the L7 matches which have averaged a paltry 1.00 gpg. Yep, 7 goals in 7 matches and well over 360 minutes of play. Maybe bring a book? Colorado (8/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) has been very impressive here at Home in Commerce City, going unbeaten so far (9-4-0, 16 GF-5 GA) in very low-scoring affairs while Wondo and the Earthquakes (40/1, to win MLS Cup at Intertops) have done little ground-shaking Away from home so far this season (1-6-6 12 GF-21 GA on Road). Embrace the logic.

Final Score Prediction: Rapids 1 Earthquakes 0
Free MLS Pick: Rapids -133, Under 2½ -125
Best Line Offered: at Intertops

*Note: Rapid's line opened at -133 now trading -125

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Real Salt Lake vs. Houston Dynamo
The 10th-place Houston Dynamo (5-11-11, 32 GF-37 GA) head to suburban Salt Lake City and Rio Tinto on Saturday night (MLS Live, ROOT Sports SW, KMYU) to face 4th-place Real Salt Lake (12-8-9, 42 GF-41 GA). The L5 meetings in this Western Conference series shows (HOU 1-0 RSL, RSL 2-1 HOU, HOU 1-3 RSL, RSL 2-0 HOU, HOU 2-5 RSL) shows Joao Plata (9 goals), Yura Movsisyan (9 goals) and Real Salt Lake (10/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) to be an impressive 4-0-1 (12 GF-4 GA) against the Dynamo who are still tied with the Crew with the least Wins in the MLS (5) and still have the longest MLS odds to win the championship (200/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) and who are still actually in the race with 26 points and the 6th-place team in the West (Portland Timbers) sitting on 38 points. With Andrew Wenger (5 goals), Will Bruin (4 goals) and Houston so poor away from H-Town (1-4-9, 14 GF-23 GA on Road) and RSL (8-6-0, 22 GF-13 GA) still unbeaten at Rio Tinto after Labor Day, backing the hosts here is the easy call in what should be a tighter match than RSL might like.

Final Score Prediction: Real Salt Lake 2 Houston 1
Free MLS Pick: Real Salt Lake -154
Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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Sunday, September 18, 2016

Sporting Kansas City vs. LA Galaxy
The LA Galaxy continued adding to their collection of stars, with Head Coach Bruce Arena adding former Galaxy player Landon Donovan to a Roster which already has international greats Ronnie Keane (14 goals), Steven Gerrard, Ashley Cole and Giovani dos Santos (8 goals) as well as one of the strongest Defenses in the MLS. Here at Kansas City, Kansas, the Galaxy (11-14-4, 49 GF-32 GA)—who are still priced as the oddsmakers favorites to win the MLS Cup at 4/1 to win MLS Cup at popular Soccer Online sportsbook Intertops, which has a 200% Cash Bonus for new Sign-ups and which an A grade in the best sportsbooks ratings here at Sportsbook Review—will be up against it against Dominic Dwyer (13 goals) and needy Sporting Kansas City (11-6-12, 35 GF-35 GA) side which finds itself just 1 point ahead of the 6th-place Timbers in the Western Conference (39-38). The L5 meetings in this series (LA 0-0 SKC, SKC 1-1 LA, SKC 2-1 LA, LA 2-1 SKC, LA 2-0 SKC) reveals the usually prolific Galaxy having trouble scoring goals in this series over the L3 (0, 1, 1) and a deeper dive shows the Home team to be unbeaten in the L9 meetings (6-3-0). SKC is 17-7-8 lifetime against the Galaxy (47 GF-26 GA) as either this name or the Kansas City Wizards. Here on Sunday afternoon in the nationally televised game in the US and the UK (FOX, MLS Live (US), Sky Sports 5/HD (UK)), goals should be scarce and the Under seems like safest approach.

Final Score Prediction: Sporting Kansas City 1 LA Galaxy 1
Free MLS Pick: Under 2½ -111
Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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Toronto FC vs. New York Red Bulls
Prolific Bradley Wright-Phillips (18 goals) and the New York Red Bulls (12-8-9, 49 GF-37 GA) head to the province of Ontario on Sunday afternoon (FOX, MLS Live (US), TSN2 (CAN), Sky Sports 2/HD (UK)) to face Sebastian Giovinco (16 goals), Jozy Altidore (6 goals) and 1st-place Toronto FC (13-7-8, 41 GF-29 GA) in a huge Eastern Conference showdown and the last game of MLS Week 28. Looking at the L5 meetings between these two (RBNY 3-0 TOR, RBNY 0-2 TOR, TOR 2-1 RBNY, RBNY 3-0 TOR, RBNY 3-1 TOR) we find that 4 of the games were played in Harrison, New Jersey at Red Bull Arena, the Over went 4-1, the Home club went 4-0-1 and goals are usually scored when these two sides bang heads (3.0 gpg L5). Here in Toronto, with 1st place in the Eastern Conference on the line, expect much drama, but in the big scheme of things this is really just another match and it will be more important that both Mike Grella (6 goals) and the Red Bulls (7/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops; 2-6-7, 10 GF-24 GA on Road) and TFC (+650 , Intertops; 7-3-2, 20 GF-9 GA at Home) don’t come away here feeling too bad, meaning that a Draw could very well end up being in the cards.


MLS Pick: Over 2½ -133
Best Line Offered: at Intertops


Final Score Prediction: Toronto FC 2 RBNY 2
MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score (Yes) -162 at Bet365

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MLS Rundown Picks Record Week 27: 8-13-0
MLS Rundown Picks Record Weeks 18-27: 99-73-6