Soccer Picks: Are You Even Ready For Ecuador Upsetting Brazil?

Nikki Adams

Saturday, June 4, 2016 11:30 AM GMT

Saturday, Jun. 4, 2016 11:30 AM GMT

Copa America is underway and we bring you the best bets on Saturday’s soccer betting card. A triplet of matchups you’ll want to sink your teeth into with these choice soccer picks.

Costa Rica vs. Paraguay
Paraguay look to build on a fourth-place finish in last year’s Copa America in Chile when they kick off their bid on Saturday. By all accounts, their bid in Chile last year was impressive as they were unbeaten in group play holding Argentina and Uruguay to draws and knocked out Brazil in the quarterfinals on penalties. While they were beaten horrendously by Argentina 6-1 in the semis and, then, defeated by Peru in the third-place playoffs, Paraguay will be optimistic about their chances in this special edition of the Copa America. Paraguay were also 2011 finalists (l. to Uruguay).

However, current form leaves something to be desired with Paraguay as they are winless in their last three fixtures since the turn of the New Year. They settled on back-to-back draws to Ecuador (away) and Brazil (home) in their World Cup qualifying campaign, a couple of results that sees Paraguay down to seventh in the CONMEBOL standings with a 2-3-1 mark and 9 points. Most recently, they succumbed to Mexico in a 1-0 friendly loss, a warm-up game preceding the Copa America.

Costa Rica, meanwhile, comes into this opening clash with some momentum after seeing off Venezuela in a 2-1 win in friendly action at the tail-end of last month. It marked the national sides second straight win and third fixture undefeated after a couple of World Cup qualifying accounts that resulted in a 3-0 win over Jamaica (home) and a 1-1 draw to Jamaica (away). Costa Rica elevated their profile at the World Cup Brazil, putting together a Cinderella run into the knockouts (l. to Netherlands on penalties in the quarterfinals). However those raised expectations came to naught at the 2015 CONCACAF Gold Cup. It was a disappointing account entirely that left much to be desired. They failed to win a single game in the group stage, even though they reached the quarterfinals. So it’s not surprising their run ended abruptly at the first hurdle when they were eliminated by Mexico 1-0 in extra time in the quarterfinals.

Soccer betting markets install Costa Rica as the slight underdogs at +200 and Paraguay as the favorites at +150 to win in 90 minutes. The draw, meanwhile, is trading at +200. The last time these two teams met in friendly action in March 2015 the outcome was a scoreless draw. The head-to-head stands at two wins and a draw for each side from five meetings. Consider Paraguay’s current form belies their favourable soccer odds, but they are a team to be reckoned with if the last few Copa America’s were any indication. They have a solid undefeated record in group play from 2011 and 2015, which makes Costa Rica’s bid all the more arduous to eke out a win. As such, we’re backing Paraguay to win this clash at +150 soccer odds. For those on the fence – Costa Rica have shown they can’t be underestimated – perhaps the draw no bet at -138 for Paraguay is a better option.

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Free Soccer Pick: Paraguay +138 and/or Drawn No Bet -138 Paraguay
Best Line Offered: at William Hill

 

Haiti vs. Peru
Peru finished third in the 2015 Copa America and they’ll be keen to get their bid off to a solid start when they take on group and competition minnows Haiti. In all respects, this is a perfect matchup for Peru to ease into the competition as they look to be the better side on paper.

Granted form leaves something to be desired with Peru as their World Cup qualifying campaign looks to be in dire straits – they are eighth in the standings with a woeful 1-1-4 record. However, they are riding some form into Copa America behind key wins over Trinidad and Tobago and El Salvador.

Haiti, meanwhile, boast one solitary win in 2016, a 1-0 win over Trinidad and Tobago that punched their ticket to Copa America. Since then they lost to Panama 1-0 and Colombia 3-1, a couple of friendly fixtures in the lead up to this event.

It’s the first meeting between these two nations since 2003 friendly action. Given current form it’s possible to assume they have an equal shot at the win. However, it’s hard to see past Peru in this clash and quite rightly they are the favourites to win in 90 minutes at -200 soccer odds or thereabouts depending on your choice sportsbook.

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Free Soccer Pick: Peru +142
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Brazil vs. Ecuador
The clash between Brazil and Ecuador marks a showdown between the top two favourites in group B, which puts a hefty premium on the win you’d think. It’s most likely the winner of this matchup will win the section and earn in theory a favourable matchup in the knockouts.

Brazil, for obvious reasons, are the favourites at -118 or thereabouts to win in 90 minutes. However, the Canaries are without some of their key players, including Neymar and Ricardo Kaka. Plus, their World Cup qualifying campaign is in tatters as they sit in sixth place in the CONMEBOL standings and four points off leaders Uruguay and Ecuador. Yup, that’s the same Ecuador they are to face in Copa America mind.

Ecuador, meanwhile, are trading as the whopping +333 underdogs with bet365 and as high as +356 with Pinnacle. Yet, the Yellows have lost just one of their last six competitive fixtures – they are currently sat second in the CONMEBOL standings with a 4-1-1 record but level on 13 points with first-placed Uruguay. To their credit they have victories over Venezuela, Uruguay, Bolivia and Argentina along with a draw to Paraguay. Their lone loss came to Colombia in the last round of qualifying. Overall, those aren’t results to sniff at and you can bet the Yellows will fancy their chances against the lofty Brazilians, particularly considering their injury concerns and absentees.

On one hand, there is good reason to favour Brazil – a tradition of success in the competition that has yielded four titles in the last six instalments. Recent form though coupled with the confidence the Yellows must be feeling lends us to consider the upset on our soccer picks here. Additional soccer picks to consider include both teams to score at a tempting -105 soccer odds. If you’re buying what we’re selling with our main soccer pick here, you might as well combine both teams to score and Ecuador to win at +750 with bet365.

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Free Soccer Pick: Ecuador +385, Both Teams To Score -105, and/or Both Teams To Score And Ecuador To Win
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle and at Bet365 respectively

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