Soccer Picks for Wolfsburg vs. Mainz

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, February 5, 2014 4:55 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 5, 2014 4:55 PM UTC

Wolfsburg and Mainz 05 collide in Bundesliga week 20 betting. Join us as we breakdown this clash and deliver our soccer betting tips and picks for your consideration.

Wolfsburg hot favourites

Sportsbooks send Wolfsburg into their clash with Mainz 05 as the hot favourites at -133 to win outright, despite a conspicuous dip in form that has seen them go on to back-to-back defeats since the start of the New Year.

Wolfsburg began the second half of the season with 3-1 defeat at home to middleweights Hannover 96 and followed up with a 2-1 defeat away to Schalke 04. On the heels of these disappointments, they’ve put their position in the table at risk.

Currently sat sixth in Bundesliga with a 9-3-7 record and 30 points in 19 laps, Wolfsburg are in danger of slipping out of European contention. Mainz have capitalised on this opportunity with a run of solid form to close the gap. 

Mainz 05 at the disadvantage

Mainz 05 will attempt to kneecap their disadvantaged soccer odds when they visit Wolfsburg at the weekend in Bundesliga week 20 betting, and they certainly have the form to do it.

Listed as the whopping underdogs at +350 to win outright, Mainz 05 would seem to be the value soccer pick in this matchup given the fact that they boast a five-game undefeated streak since a 3-1 defeat at home to Borussia Dortmund on November 30. They are 3-2-0 in their last five fixtures both home and away and 3-1-1 in their last five fixtures on the road (the last road defeat was to Augsburg on November 3).

Overall, Mainz 05 cut a threatening pose in seventh place in Bundesliga with a 9-3-7 mark and 30 points, which puts them level on points with Wolfsburg. Obviously, a win over their hosts would see them leapfrog up the table. It’s also worth mentioning that Mainz 05 haven’t lost to Wolfsburg since January 22, 2011.

Soccer Betting Verdict: On balance, this appears to be a rather curious market, almost to the point of making no sense. Wolfsburg have clearly lost the plot since the start of the New Year while Mainz 05 are evidently on the ascent. One would think the latter would be rewarded meaningfully in soccer betting markets as a result, if not firmly favoured at least given the benefit of doubt with shorter odds.

It’s not for us to question odds makers’ decisions nor can we criticise. Perhaps, they know more than we do. Then again, they are human and can make mistakes. Meaning this could be a rare opportunity for soccer bettors to capitalise on a bad market in a big way.

Of course, the stakes are high and the pressure will be felt by both sides. Wolfsburg could theoretically bounce back against Mainz 05. Still, confidence though is firmly in Mainz 05’s camp.

From the evidence before us, Mainz 05 would appear to be in prime position to capitalise on Wolfsburg’s waffling form and, therefore, backing the visitors at their deliciously tempting +350 soccer odds to win outright at Bet365 could prove the savvy bet of the week’s soccer betting menu. Adding weight to this notion is the fact that Wolfsburg haven’t beaten Mainz 05 in over three years; the best they’ve mustered up was a draw, which is trading at +275 in case you were considering that result.

Soccer Free Picks: Mainz 05 to win outright at +350

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