Soccer Picks: Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV

Nila Amerova

Thursday, November 28, 2013 1:19 PM GMT

Thursday, Nov. 28, 2013 1:19 PM GMT

Wolfsburg look to continue momentum in Germany’s top-flight league at the expense of Hamburger SV this weekend. Find out what odds are currently in full swing and what value soccer picks we’ve put together for you.

Wolfsburg in fine form

Sportsbooks across the board install Wolfsburg at the considerable advantage to win at home to Hamburger SV and for good reason. Form has been nothing short of divine recently with a five-game undefeated run that includes four wins and a draw. Most impressively, they earned a win over Borussia Dortmund at home – something few had predicted or even backed in their soccer picks, frankly.

Most recently, Wolfsburg are after a 1-1 draw to Nurnberg – a crucial point that edged them ahead of Schalke 04 in the table to install them in a coveted fifth place, within touching distance of Borussia M’gladbach in fourth and setting up what should be a very interesting battle for a spot in Champions League next season.

Wolfsburg (7-1-5) put an impressive 5-0-1 home record on the line when they take on Hamburger SV on Friday, a model of consistency at home that should render them the choice soccer pick in punting circles and highlights the value in their -120 odds to win outright at Bet365.

Can Hamburger SV turn the odds in their favour?

Hamburger SV are installed as the +300 underdogs at Bet365 to win in Volkswagen Arena in Wolfsburg, large enough odds to give those tempted to tickle them pause for thought.

The visitors boast a 4-3-6 record through 13 laps of Bundesliga action, a record recently improved on the back of a victory over Hannover 96 but that is wholly inconsistent nonetheless, not the least road form that stands at 2-2-3.

On the back of the 3-1 win over Hannover 96 they did manage to climb up to 11th place in the table but that rank sounds better than it really is because it’s only a four-point drop into the danger zone. It has to help their confidence though ahead of this clash with Wolfsburg seeing that prior to the win they were soundly beaten, 2-0 by Borussia M’gladbach and 5-3 by Bayer Leverkusen – two defeats they’d sooner rather than later forget, to be sure.

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Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV betting tips and picks:

Wolfsburg are riding solid form across the board right now, including nigh-perfect home form – two aspects that make them the correct favourites to win outright at -120 at Bet365. Adding weight to their soccer odds is consistency, which also correlates to confidence amongst their ranks. Wolfsburg should be confident of taking all three points against Hamburger SV therefore and, thus, we do recommend them as your soccer pick for the weekend.

Only Eintracht Braunschweig have managed to deal Wolfsburg a home defeat – that they are currently propping up the league is interesting and probably suggests that Wolfsburg might have committed the biggest folly in sports; that is, to underestimate an opponent.

That they haven’t done so since speaks volumes about lessons learned. Still that lone result could give Hamburger SV some measured optimism ahead of this clash. One aspect that favours Hamburger SV is their offensive abilities – aside from the scoreless defeat to Borussia M’gladbach they’ve managed to score three goals in four of their last five games including that clash with Bayer Leverkusen. If they bring such intense offense to Wolfsburg they might have a chance. Only problem is though defence has let them down and because of its untrustworthy nature it’s a very risky prospect with Hamburger SV on the outright win at +300. In light of this though for those inclined towards the visitors or those that are simply more adventurous with their soccer picks, perhaps the draw would be served better at +275 at Bet365. Certainly, the case has been made for the Over 2.5 at -163.

Soccer Picks: Draw at +275; Over 2.5 at -163

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