Soccer Picks: West Bromwich vs. Arsenal Odds Preview

Mike Richardson

Friday, April 5, 2013 6:41 PM GMT

West Brom host Arsenal in the EPL and your Humble Handicapper smells money in this match.


Arsenal are just two points behind fourth placed Chelsea, three points behind third place Tottenham and they could theoretically take the bronze medal spot. But as they are 9/4 to finish third in the league this season it's not that likely. What is considered more likely is that they will get back into a Champions League finish for the end of the season something that is at 4/6 betting odds.

West Brom by comparison are on 44 points and seem to be pretty sure of a top 10 finish this term something that is offered up at 1/25, but that’s all. When these two sides meet I think that side that has the most to gain by three points will come out on top and if you can't follow basic maths…that is Arsenal.

Enough with the league finishes…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

West Brom have a pretty smart home record with nine victories, two draws and just four defeats compared to Arsenal’s tepid away record of six victories, five draws and four losses. Arsenal  may have scored 20 goals and conceded 13 on their travels but West Brom have scored 23 and conceded 14 at home. Crunching those goals would suggest that the game is going to end 2-1. Looking at odds for that score is 7/1 for Arsenal come out on top and 14/1 for a home victory. Make of that what you will…

Casting the net a little bit wider it is interesting to note that in the last five meetings between these two sides there has only been two clean sheets and they have both belonged to Arsenal. However they have both been at home. It also interesting to note that Arsenal have come out on top in the last three meetings between these two sides and you’d have to go as far back as 25 September 2010 for a West Bromwich Albion victory. That game ended 3-2 to the Baggies. something which is offered up at 40/1 this time round more interestingly is the fact that that same score was the result when these two sides met when this fixture was played last season and a repeat Arsenal of 3-2 is available 28/1.

Personally

For this soccer pick, I am very tempted to bet on both sides scoring in this game as Arsenal have conceded four goals in their last two trips to the Hawthorns.

Arsenal have also scored 12 goals against West Bromwich in their last five meetings and considering that Arsenal have won their last four straight league games I feel that the Gunners are on the right sort of role, and if you combine that with the fact that West Brom have only scored one goal from their last two matches and only have two wins from their last five, everything points towards an away victory. If you think I'm completely wrong you can pick odds of 11/4 on the Baggies winning or indeed 5/2 on a draw. I do think that a point is the best that West Brom can hope for but none of my money or indeed my wife's money is going on that result. I'm betting on an Arsenal victory and I’m going to spread my bets around on both 2-1 and 3-1.

Free Soccer Picks: Prediction Arsenal when 2-1 available at 7/1 with Paddy Power.

 [gameodds]2/224095/43-19-999996-349-238/us[/gameodds]

Check out my free tip on the Manchester Derby!