Soccer Picks: WCQ Estonia vs. Turkey

Nila Amerova

Friday, October 11, 2013 2:12 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 11, 2013 2:12 PM UTC

Domestic leagues pause this week to make way for World Cup fixtures. A veritable buffet of odds is on the weekend menu for every single match and every aspect of the game so join in on the action.

Domestic leagues pause this week to make way for World Cup fixtures. A veritable buffet of odds is on the weekend menu for every single match and every aspect of the game so join in on the action. To get us started, here is a preview of the Group D clash between Estonia and Turkey.

The battle for World Cup qualification intensifies in Group D as third-placed Turkey attempts to pull off a seemingly impossible second-place finish. Currently nine points adrift of top of the table Netherlands but just a point adrift of second place Hungary, Turkey’s Brazil campaign hangs in the balance with just two games left.

Newly acquired coach Fatih Terim, widely respected for his accomplishments with Galatasaray, was brought in to rescue Turkey’s campaign and pull off the seemingly impossible: to lift his nation from fourth to second in the table. He’s halfway there.

He made an immediate impact in his first appearance at the helm as he led his side to a 5:0 win over Andorra. In his second appearance where he faced a much tougher ask against (then second-placed) Romania, he led his side to a crucial 2:0 win that lifted Turkey into third place.

Now with Estonia looming ahead, a side that was disembowelled by Hungary in the last lap 5:1, it looks quite possible that sportsbook match favourites Turkey will climb up to second. That notion is encouraged along further by the fact that Hungary is set to take on the mighty Dutch in Amsterdam this week, a game few believe the Hungarians have a shot in at all.

The question however is can Turkey, if all goes to plan this week and they climb to second place (this presupposes the Holland vs. Hungary clash falls in line with the odds), hold on to clinch the runner-up spot when all is said and done? You see Turkey will face Holland in their last fixture and that match will be the real crunch match for their campaign.

To all intents and purposes Estonia’s campaign is done and done, they are fifth in the table with seven points on the back of two wins, a draw and five defeats. The lone draw came to the Netherlands, a surprising result in Tallinn that almost was even more surprising had Estonia held on to the 2:1 lead they’d orchestrated early in the second half.  Tale told, Robin Van Persie scored deep into stoppage time to deny Estonia 3 points they could have been proud to have. Still, taking a point off of World Cup runners-up Holland is nothing to scoff at but unfortunately they failed to build on that result as they succumbed to Hungary 5:1 in the subsequent lap.

Also, check out Netherlands vs. Hungary~

Estonia vs. Turkey match preview and odds

Estonia is set to host Turkey in Tallinn as the severe underdogs at +750 to win outright. Clearly, sportsbooks have little faith in Estonia pulling off the upset win here. They also show little confidence in Estonia replicating their recent performance against the mighty Dutch as they tip the draw at a rather large +333 at Bet365.

Turkey by contrast are listed as the hot road favourites at -250 to win outright. It’s no secret that this is a must-win situation for them and that motivation alone makes them seem the smart soccer pick to make here. Underscoring those odds as well is a two-game winning streak since Fatih Terim took over the reins. And a convincing 3:0 win over Estonia in the reverse fixture in Istanbul.

As far as betting on the totals in this match go, bookmakers are favouring the Under 2.5 here at -133. We are of the opinion however that this match will deliver a higher tally than that. Given what is at stake in this match, Turkey cannot afford to be complacent. Surely they’ll need to take an offensive approach to ensure victory and seeing the way Estonia capitulated to Hungary in the previous round, it doesn’t seem like they’ll face much resistance. As such we’re plumping down to the Over 2.5 at +105 as our additional free pick.

Soccer Free Picks: Turkey to win outright at -250 and Over 2.5 at +105

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