Soccer Picks Villarreal vs. Celta Vigo

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, February 12, 2014 7:46 PM GMT

Celta de Vigo descend on Villarreal in Spanish top-flight action at the weekend. Find out what odds are currently in swing and where the value soccer picks are to be had.

Villarreal at the advantage

Sportsbooks send Villarreal into their weekend date with Celta de Vigo as the hot favourites to win outright, listed at -200 soccer odds at Bet365.

After a series of top flight finishes, Villarreal were relegated in 2012 – arguably, one of the most surprising relegations in Continental European soccer for some time. Returning to top-flight action at the start of the 2013-2014 season, Villarreal are enjoying a solid season to the delight of their supporters – a throwback to days gone by, putting their surprise 18th place finish and subsequent plunge into second-tier action in 2012 well and truly behind them.

They Yellow Submarine are fifth in the league with a 12-4-7 mark on the season and 40 points. They are four points back of fourth-placed Athletic Club, a gap they’ll hope to close at Celta de Vigo’s expense on Saturday.

Overall, home form has been their saving grace – they are 7-3-2 this season, which is a commendable mark. Importantly, they play much more freely before their fans and score more goals than they do on the road – they have reeled off 26 goals through 12 home games and conceded just 13.

Recent form has been patchy however; Villarreal have oscillated between a win and a loss in their last six matches across all competitions. Their last result was a 4-2 defeat at Real Madrid in week 23 La Liga betting, but if the win-loss trend holds true on the weekend, Villarreal are due a victory, which would mean adding them to your soccer picks could prove a standout bet.

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Celta De Vigo at the significant disadvantage

The odds are stacked significantly against Celta de Vigo. They are listed at +600 soccer odds to win outright while even the draw is out of their reach at +300 at Bet365. But are sportsbooks writing them off too quickly?

Celta are sat pretty in 11th place with a 7-5-11 record and 26 points. A coveted mid-table position but one that couldn’t be more deceiving than it is, in that it only affords a five-point cushion at the moment from the drop. Seven teams including Celta and all the way down to Granada in 17th place are separated by just two points while Real Valledoid (18th) boast 21 points for their efforts so far.

Celta’s position is tenuous at best, top-flight survival up in the air. That reality is most likely to continue until the end of the season as the competition is only going to get stiffer and the survival race tighter. 

With pressure mounting on Celta, they’ve responded excellently in recent weeks going undefeated in four of their last five games. They are 3-1-1, which includes an eye-catching 2-1 win over Valencia and a scoreless draw to Athletic Club. They also beat Sevilla and dumped Athletic Club out of Copa del Rey action earlier this season.

That they can stand up to some of the league’s bigger clubs bodes well for their visit to Villarreal, despite the soccer betting markets. What’s more – and this could be a source of additional confidence – they did manage to hold Villarreal to a scoreless draw earlier this season in their first meeting.

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Villarreal vs. Celta de Vigo match betting tips and picks:

At face value, this does appear to be a home banker with Villarreal taking maximum points rather easily at the expense of a seeming lightweight. The corresponding inclination therefore is to back Villarreal at -200 on the outright win at Bet365.

That said Celta have upped the ante in recent weeks and, as such, they shouldn’t be dismissed out of hand. They could surprise Villarreal, especially if the hosts take them for granted. And given Villarreal’s recent sketchy form it’s enough to prompt exploring this idea further. 

Celta have proven the measure of a few top of the table clubs in recent weeks, even taking points off them to show for their efforts. If Celta can surprise here, they’d prove to be the standout bet of the week at +600 to win outright or at +300 on the draw – both of which promise nice return for your investment and worthy of consideration. Of course, if you can’t decide between either our recommended soccer pick is the double chance bet with Celta de Vigo to win or draw at +163 at Bet365.

Soccer Free Picks: Celta de Vigo to win at +600 or the double result at +163