Soccer Picks: Villarreal vs. Athletic Bilbao La Liga Betting

Mike Richardson

Tuesday, March 11, 2014 5:16 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 11, 2014 5:16 PM UTC

There’s even more money to be won over in Spain this coming weekend if you listen to your Humble Handicapper’s tips. The latest match that has caught his eagle eye is Villarreal versus Athletic Bilbao.

Let's take a quick look at the table. After 27 games Villarreal are fifth in the table on 44 points, but sit just one point clear of Real Sociedad who are on 43 points, but have that all-important game in hand. Athletic Bilbao are in fourth after 27 games, on 51 points and now is as good a time as any to let you know that Bilbao or 1/3 on a top four finish this season while Villarreal are 2/5 on a top six finish and 6/1 on a top four finish.

Enough with the top four and top six finishes…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Matches between these two sides are usually very close-run affairs; in fact looking at the last four games we have two draws; 2-2 and 1-1 and a win for either side. Back in March 2011 Villarreal were 1-0 victors away to Bilbao, while the last time these sides met in October 2013 Bilbao were 2-0 victors. A repeat of a 2-0 win to Athletic is available at 20/1 while a repeat of that 1-0 victory for Villarreal is available at 15/2 soccer odds.

This is good a time as any to let you know the basics and the basics have Villarreal winning at 6/5 an away victory for Bilbao at 12/5 and the game ending drawn at 11/5. Also the odds are on Bilbao winning both halves at 9/2 and Villarreal winning both halves at 21/10 and if you want to confuse matters further, the game being level on the 45 and 90 is available at 9/2.

I don't think it's worth noting that the last time we saw a goal bonanza in this fixture was when Villarreal beat Bilbao 4-1 way back in November 2010, a repeat of that score is available at 50/1 for Villarreal and 110/1 for Bilbao.

It looks like it's a good time to face Villarreal as they have just one victory from their last five games, but Bilbao aren't doing much better as they just have two victories from their last five games, however Bilbao have only tasted defeat once in that run while Villarreal have tasted defeat three times in the same span.

Bilbao have scored eight goals in their last four games, and that is an average of two per game while Villarreal have conceded 10 goals in their last five games, again which is an average of two per game.

Villarreal have scored five goals in their last five games but failed to find the back of the net twice, once at home and wants away. Bilbao have kept three clean sheets in their last five games and have conceded just three goals in that run.

The sports books have the best soccer odds on the game ending under 2.5 goals at 4/5 and the odds on both teams scoring at 4/6. But looking at history both recent and not so recent your Humble Handicapper knows just which soccer pick to put his money down on for this game.

Prediction: Athletic Bilbao wins 2-1 at best soccer odds of 12/1 available with BetVictor.

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