Soccer Picks: Valencia vs. Betis in La Liga

Mike Richardson

Thursday, March 14, 2013 5:46 PM GMT

Nearly all of the talk in Spain is about Barcelona's 40 comeback victory in the Champions League, but there are still domestic issues to deal with. And when Valencia take on Betis your Humble Handicapper is expecting a big win, down the bookies.


Valencia are really dragging their feet at present and are winless in four straight games. However it is certainly worth mentioning that three of those last four games were score draws and their only defeat, their most recent match was simply a 1-0 away loss to Athletic Bilbao.

Betis by comparison are having a very mixed run at present they have two draws, two victories and a single loss in their last five games and are undefeated in their last three.

Home and away

That's probably why the most online sportsbooks have Betis winning this game at 9/2 and Valencia winning this game at 4/7. Looking a little deeper at the last five games that both of these sides have played shows you that Betis have only kept two clean sheets in that run, but not since February. Also Betis have scored eight goals in their last five games and conceded just five.

Goals win games

Valencia by comparison have only clocked up seven goals in their last five encounters but have failed to keep a clean sheet since 17 February. What a little bit more interesting is the fact that Valencia have conceded six goals in their last four games. New paragraph

I think it's worth mentioning that the last time your humble handicapper made a prediction about the Valencia game he picked the right winner but didn't quite get the right score.

[gameodds]17/221709/43-999997-238/us[/gameodds]

I think this game is going to be tight

The last time this picture was played back in April 2012 Valencia went all out goal crazy and beat Betis 4-0. A repeat of that score is available at 33/1.

I do think that that goal bonanza was a freakishly freak result as the other four out of the past five meetings between these two sides have been decided by a single goal. Therefore you should consider adding a score of 1-0 to your soccer picks which is at 7/1 for a home win and 14/1 on an away win. Also invest some money in 2-1 which is offered at that 7/1 for the home side and 14/1 for the visitors. And I would say if you are that way inclined, bet on the home side winning as this time has gone in favour of the home side on four out of the last five occasions and the only time that it didn't go in favour of the home side was when Valencia won 2-1 back in April 2009.

There has only been two clean sheets in the last five encounters between these sides however they have both come in the last two games. Therefore, everything considered your Humble Handicapper is getting behind a score draw.

Soccer Picks: Honours even and a goal apiece, that's 1-1 available at 6/1 with Paddy Power.