Soccer Picks: Tottenham vs. Chelsea Tips & Odds

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, September 25, 2013 2:09 PM GMT

Tottenham and Chelsea set up a rather intriguing clash in week 6 of Premier League action. So intriguing is the London derby in fact that even odds makers are utterly undecided which side is the clear favourite to win outright. Join us as we preview this game complete with odds and picks for your consideration.

Betting on the winner

Early soccer odds are literally and metaphorically in full swing on the London derby between Tottenham and Chelsea at White Hart Lane, swinging between the two clubs like an erratic pendulum in full flight. There appears to be a slight disagreement across the various platforms about which club is the favourite to win this highly-anticipated fixture, which makes deciding where to place your soccer picks a right challenge.

Both are tipped at coy odds of +163 to win outright at Bet365, rendering their betting value relative there. William Hill, on the other hand, are after being bolder, tipping Chelsea at the slight advantage at +150 and Tottenham at the merest disadvantage at +160.

It’s a mere difference but one that appears from sportsbook to sportsbook and that makes it quite significant. On one hand it’s testament of the reputation that precedes Chelsea. On the other, it’s a stubborn refusal to acknowledge the solid start to the season by the Spurs (4-0-1) and the club’s complete transformation and reinvention from an always-ran side to now a viable contender for the title.

In fact, it’s a bit surprising that the Spurs aren’t being given the upper hand in this game, seeing that they are level on points with Arsenal at the top of the table (ranked second only on goal difference) and that they have home advantage here. Granted, home advantage was a mute point last season for Spurs as Chelsea came to White Hart Lane and beat them 4-2. But the better start on the season has to count for something, no? At the very least, it should send the Spurs with measured optimism into this game. Confidence begets winning, so they say.

Let’s not forget this is a made over Spurs bearing little resemblance to last year’s installment. They are a much better side even though they’ve lost Gareth Bale to greener pastures of Spain’s Primera Division. By comparison, the Blues (3-1-1) seem to be a side that is suffering a bit of an existential crisis.

If last week’s game against Fulham were any indication, the prognosis isn’t very flattering. Sure, they won 2-0 at Stamford Bridge but the effort was laborious to say the least. The main criticism laid at their feet was lack of serious offensive threats.

Now Blues boast a lot of individual talent but together they haven’t combined for much offense this season. Not yet that is. Fernando Torres is in a league of his own. At Liverpool, he was sublime and scored seemingly at will. Problem is Blues fans are yet to delight in his organic talent. He has yet to tap into the lethal ability that comes so effortlessly to him (one is starting to wonder if he ever will regain his glorious form?).

As well, there is Samuel Eto’o and Andre Schurrle – both struggling to make a significant impact but bless aren’t they trying to do just that. Let’s not forget Juan Mata, one of their best players and a decidedly attacking-minded midfielder. Oh wait, but he’s sat pretty at the sidelines these days. So long as Mourinho persists with benching the Spaniard the problems on offense are sure to continue for the Blues. 

Verdict: This should be a highly entertaining clash on the weekend soccer betting card and while the this match could swing either way we’re plumping down to a Spurs win at +163 at Bet365 because they have form and home advantage going for them.

Free Picks: Spurs to win outright at +163 at Bet365

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":245413, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Betting on the Totals

The odds makers are favouring the Under 2.5 total in this game at -118 while they list the Over 2.5 at -105. It’s easy to see why when the Blues are struggling to score for the most part (not to harp on them continuously) and four of Tottenham’s Premier League games have finished 1-0, including a defeat to Arsenal. As well, Lloris has been impressive between the posts with seven clean sheets already this season, three of which were at home in Premier League action.

Still the Spurs’ offense is slowly gathering pace. They’ve scored six goals in their last three fixtures across several competitions for a 2-goal per game average.  And we already know that the potential threats on Chelsea’s bench have the ability to run the scoreboard and can give Lloris a real run for his money. These two things combine therefore to tip the scale towards the Over 2.5 pick as the value play in our opinion.

Free Picks: Over 2.5 at -105