Soccer Picks: Torino vs. Fiorentina

Nila Amerova

Thursday, January 9, 2014 1:50 PM GMT

Torino and Fiorentina collide in Week 19 Serie A betting, in what should be a cracking top ten Serie A tilt. Sportsbooks have rolled out a whole slew of soccer betting odds on this clash so without further fuss, here’s a look at the markets complete with soccer free picks.

A tight betting affair

It’s being presented as a tight soccer-betting affair in sportsbooks when Torino and Fiorentina collide in week 19 Serie A. Both sides are tipped on the short side of even money, just a smidgen apart, with the hosts Torino on the disadvantage at +180 soccer odds and the visitors Fiorentina just slightly better at +150. Clearly, there is value on both sides of the coin and it’s a wide-open affair, up for grabs by either side.

Fiorentina rank fourth in the table on the back of a solid 11-3-4 mark and 36 points. They are within touching distance of Napoli, in third at 39 points. Encouragingly, they are riding a three-game winning streak ahead of their date with Torino with wins over Livorno, Sassuolo and Bologna – all of which were clean sheets to boot.

Fiorentina boast good form both home and away as well, although home form is a slightly better 6-2-1. That said a 5-1-3 road record is pretty good too all things being considered.

Torino, by contrast, are seventh in the table on the back of a 6-7-5 mark and 25 points. Home form is a modest 4-4-1 while away form stands at 2-3-4. Clearly, home form has been their saving grace, on the back of which they are enjoying top ten digs.

Torino however are coming off a defeat to Parma in the last lap, an away 3-1 loss that snapped a five-game undefeated run and that included four wins and a draw – impressively they beat Lazio (last year’s Coppa d’Italia champions) at home, as well as beating Udinese and holding Genoa to the draw on the away.

Torino vs. Fiorentina match betting tips and picks:

On balance, there is nothing generous about Fiorentina’s fancied soccer odds of +150 at Bet365. They have been solid this season overall and have shown exceptional attacking brilliance throughout by scoring 34 through 18 laps (an average of 1.888 per game). Where there was cause for slight concern was on defence. In recent weeks however they’ve tightened up in that department, as evinced by the three straight clean sheets. All that proves auspiciously towards taking Fiorentina as your value soccer pick in this match.

Of course, home advantage is going to factor where Torino are modestly good this season, especially in recent weeks as they are riding a five game undefeated streak at home with three wins and two draws, the latter of which both gained at the expense of big clubs Internazionale and Roma.

Indeed, Torino might well fancy their chances even if sportsbooks don’t and, thus, taking Torino for the so-called upset at +180 soccer odds or taking the draw at +350 at Bet365 could prove profitable for your soccer betting thrills this weekend.

One thing that is certain is that Torino can match Fiorentina on offense; they have netted 31 goals through 18 laps. Where they fall short however is on defence, which has conceded 27 goals. What these stats collectively suggest is that this matchup should be a high-scoring affair, making the Over 2.5 at -125 at Bet365 the best soccer pick we can recommend.

Soccer Betting Verdict: While this matchup is shaping up to be a tight affair the balance tips in favour of Fiorentina solely because they have the advantage from top to bottom. Thus, we’re backing Fiorentina on the win and recommending the Over 2.5 at -125 as our value soccer pick.

Soccer Free Picks: Fiorentina to win outright at +150; Over 2.5 at -125

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