Soccer Picks & Tips for Villarreal v Sevilla

Mike Richardson

Friday, December 20, 2013 9:29 PM GMT

Friday, Dec. 20, 2013 9:29 PM GMT

Over in Spain there’s money to be won if you follow your Humble Handicapper’s top soccer tips, which means you can treat your better half to new shoes this Xmas (I know I will be) come the final whistle when Villarreal take on Sevilla.

Once again, and no prizes for guessing this one, the Spanish league is all about Barcelona, the Spanish giants are top of the table after 16 games, and if you’re any other team than Atletico Madrid (who are tied on points) you really are just making up the numbers.

Still, just because neither Villarreal nor Sevilla have any real chance of winning La Liga this term doesn’t mean that you can’t win some money of their footballing adventures. For the record Villarreal are 1000/1 to win La Liga this term and Sevilla run 3000/1.

Enough with winning the league…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

There’s only five points separating these two sides in Spain’s top flight. Sevilla have 23 points and sit in 7th place while Villarreal have 28 points and are two places better off. The home side goes into this match after only being defeated four times in the league all season, while Sevilla are one game worse off (having lost five). It’s an identical story looking at the number of draws that these sides have played out in the league this term as Sevilla have ended a game honours even five times and Villarreal have done it four times. If you want to see a clue to who will come out on top from those facts you might like the one that says that Sevilla have two fewer victories in the league this season than Villarreal.

Still that has a little impact on the soccer odds as the sportsbooks have Villarreal winning at 9/10 and Sevilla winning at 3/1 while a draw is at 11/4.

I see goals

I’ll let you know who you should back to come out o top in this game in a little while but for now you should throw some money down on the game going over 2.5 goals (at5/6). Looking at the last five meetings between these two sides shows us 21 goals, that’s an average of over 4 per game. I don’t think we’ll see a five goal stunner but three or more goals is a safe choice for your soccer picks.

I’d avoid backing either side to win to nil, although Villarreal is offered up at the best soccer odds of 9/4 to do just that and Sevilla are at 13/2 to do the same. There’s only been one clean sheet in the last five meetings between these sides and that was back in January 2011 when Sevilla came out 3-0 winners. A repeat of that score is offered up at 90/1 but my money isn’t going there.

I like the look of Sevilla as they’ve only been bested once by Villarreal in their last five meetings, although that was the most recent match.

Prediction: Sevilla win 2-1 available at 14/1 with Coral. 

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