Soccer Picks & Tips: Udinese vs. Lazio

Mike Richardson

Wednesday, April 17, 2013 7:17 PM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 17, 2013 7:17 PM UTC

There is a potential classic soccer corker shaping up in Italy between Udinese and Lazio, but we see this as an excuse to make some money. Where are we placing or soccer picks in this matchup?

Ahead of Monday night's class Lazio had drawn their last two games straight and were winless in four. Monday saw things go from bad to worse as they went down 2-0 to Juventus. That means they’ve scored just two goals in their last four games and what's worse is that they have only two victory in their last 12 matches. Udinese by comparison are a three-game unbeaten run and had won their last two games straight.


Enough with the misery…WHERE’S THE MOEY MIKE?

These two Italian giants face off in quite an important game, but when it comes to placing our soccer picks, we are not expecting any surprises.

At times press Lazio or fifth in the Italian league after 32 games with 51 points just one ahead of Inter-Milan and three ahead of Roma. At this stage in the season they've won 15 games drawn six and lost 11 and currently have a goal difference of +5.

You have to go all the way down to ninth to find Udinese, who have played the same number of games have a very similar goal difference of +2 and only have 45 points. They've won 11 drawn 12 and lost eight of those games.

Odds on

The basic facts of the matter is that a victory for Lazio is available at soccer odds of 2/1, while a victory for Udinese is 7/5 and a draw is certainly worth a bet at 9/4.

The shortest correct scores are a 1-1 draw at 5/1, but 1-0 either way is close behind at 6/1 for Udineses and 7/1 for Lazio.  

Looking at the last five head-to-head meetings between these two sides the home side has come out on top in four and the other one ended drawn. What's more in the last two meetings between the two sides the home side has won without conceding a goal therefore you might want to bet on 2-0 and 3-0 at 9/1 and 33/1 respectively to Udinese, although personally I feel that Lazio have got a goal in them. Although probably not more than one as Lazio haven't scored more than one goal since the end of March and have scored just four goals in their last six games. 2-1 is at 8/1 and 3/1 is at 20/1.

Udinese by comparison have scored three goals in each of their last two games, but have only kept two clean sheets in their last five encounters.

Deeper and deeper

Looking a little deeper Udinese have scored eight goals in their last five games and have conceded five.

It makes any sense to bet on home side winning but I do think it's worth backing the away side to score. If you get a bit more creative with your bets why don't you go for the game being drawn at half time before the home side wins at 9/2 or even the away side winning at half-time for the home side come from behind win at the final whistle which is available at 33/1 either way I think this is very pretty tight game.

Prediction: 2-1 to Udinese available at 8/1 with Paddy Power.

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