Soccer Picks & Tips: Real Sociedad vs. Valencia

Nila Amerova

Thursday, April 25, 2013 8:04 PM GMT

Following a midweek frenzy of UEFA Champions League and Europa League action, it’s back to the domestics and soccer aficionados have a plethora of fixtures to weigh in on with their soccer picks, including the much-anticipated La Liga battle between Real Sociedad and Valencia on Sunday for the last qualifying spot for Champions League.

Real Sociedad the favorites to win

Going into the fixture, Real Sociedad has the upper hand – or so the soccer odds say as Real Sociedad are priced at 13/10 betting odds at William Hill to secure the win.

[gameodds]17/225766/43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]

What makes this the correct pre-match assessment is, first and foremost, home advantage, which, in turn, is underscored by a solid home record ringing in at 9-5-2 to date. Adding further weight as well is their impressive overall form, comprising of a 14-match undefeated run in La Liga action, which includes wins over Barcelona and Malaga (to name a few) and a 12-match undefeated run on home turf, which includes six wins and six draws. In fact, their last home defeat came in November, a 1-0 defeat to Espanyol, their last overall came in January, a commendable 4-3 defeat to Real Madrid at the Bernabeu.

Real Sociedad missed an opportunity to advance their cause for a fourth place finish in La Liga when they settled on a scoreless draw to middleweights Osasuna in their last outing. It remains to be seen whether they’ll rue that result after Valencia’s visit this weekend.

Valencia a tempting underdog

The odds makers bestowed a very tempting 21/10 bounty on Valencia that one can’t really fault soccer betting fans for wanting to pounce on it. Ahead of what is undoubtedly a ‘must-win’ game for the Valencianistas, if they hope to advance their cause for the coveted Champions League spot, motivation is high. So is confidence. Valencia is flush off a 5-1 beat down over Malaga at the weekend, a win that saw them close the gap on Real Sociedad to just two-points in the table.

Indeed, Valencia is a tempting choice for your soccer picks here. Nevertheless, Valencia have struggled with their road form this season, mustering up only a 6-5-5 mark on their travels. Overall, they are 15-8-9 on the season.

Valencia is currently riding a five-game undefeated streak in La Liga action which includes three wins and two draws. Over the course of these, they’ve scored 14 goals and conceded five. Curiously, they’ve been alternating between win and draw from match to match and if that trend is a sign of what’s to come on Sunday they are due for a draw (that is tipped at tempting 23/10 at William Hill.

Soccer Betting Verdict: On paper, very little separates Real Sociedad and Valencia. They’ve enjoyed similar outputs this season which puts them neck-and-neck in the table. And they both have a vested interest in the outcome of this matchup, which means both will be looking for the win. The upshot: this is one of the more difficult matches to handicap.

When top teams collide in a pivotal game such as this is, value is to be had on both sides of the coin. The win is really a tossup and it could go either way. It will come down to tactics, desire and a bit of luck – which short of a crystal ball can’t be predicted.  Soccer fans that have loyalties vested in this game may as well back their team to victory. For the neutral soccer bettor, the draw is perhaps the best option for your sports picks.

Soccer Free Picks: Draw at 23/10 at William Hill