Soccer Picks & Tips for Fulham vs. Manchester City

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, December 18, 2013 12:19 PM GMT

Fulham take on in-form Manchester City at the weekend with the odds stacked heavily against a home win. Can Fulham turn the odds in their favour or will Man City deliver on the road? Join us as we breakdown the sports betting market on this clash and serve up value soccer picks.

Man City crush Arsenal

Manchester City are after a stupendous victory over league leading Arsenal, a win that underscored their title credentials in the eyes of many experts and added weight to their favourable +120 odds in Bet365 futures markets towards that end.

It was not just that Man City beat Arsenal but how they did it, beating them down soundly with a 6-3 score. You’d be forgiven for assuming they’d played tennis at the Etihad based on that score. But Man City played footsie with Arsenal, a seductive and attractive game that featured a remarkable goal-fest, which only proved how frightening the Etihad really is in English football these days.

The best aspect of the result for Man City was that it was a team effort, contributions to the scoreboard coming from all sides: Sergio Aguero (who is on fire right now and making a concentrated run for top scorer in the league this season), Negredo, Fernandinho, David Silva and Touré.

Following week 16, Man City are 10-2-4 on the season and on 33 points, just two points shy of Arsenal perched at the top of the table. Therefore, a win over Fulham in the coming week will bring three beautiful points that will go a long way towards advancing Man City’s bid for English football’s throne.

Predictably, online sportsbooks corner this game in Man City’s camp with hefty -275 soccer odds to win outright. Recent form boasts a seven-game undefeated streak, home and away, across several competitions and includes six wins and a draw. Most notably, they dismantled the Spurs and Arsenal in Premier League and beat defending European champions Bayern Munich 3-2 during this run.

It’s no secret however that Man City at home and on the road are slightly different teams. At the Etihad, the Sky Blues have been untouchable. On the road, they have been less devastating – to the great delight of the rest of the field because if Man City were to treat the league as their personal stomping ground, one might as well just hand them the trophy now and be done with it.

In their last five trips they are 2-1-3 on the road, which includes a 3-2 defeat to Aston Villa, 2-1 defeat to Chelsea, a 1-0 defeat to basement dwelling Sunderland and a 1-1 draw to Southampton, just to name a few hiccups that are case-and-point. Nevertheless, they are undefeated in their last three road trips, two in Premier League. Perhaps that can be taken as a measured sign that Manuel Pellegrini’s men are ready to turn a corner on the road.

It’s not a very encouraging picture by odds makers as Fulham, listed at whopping +750 to win outright at Bet365, aren’t expected to challenge the Man City juggernaut. Even the draw is listed out of their reach at +375 soccer odds.

Fulham are knee deep in the relegation quagmire on 13 points following a 4-1-11 record through 16 laps. Most concerning for them is a) their lack of offense, which is producing at a rate of less than a goal per game at the moment and b) non-existent defence, which has allowed 30 goals already.

Fulham return to the Cottage following a 4-1 beat down at Everton, a defeat that marked their eighth in nine straight fixtures. The only reprieve during this run was a 2-0 win over Aston Villa at home two weeks ago, their last home engagement.

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Soccer Betting Verdict: Fulham can’t seem to buy a win no matter how hard they try. Sacking their coach hasn’t helped much. Well, not in the immediate anyway, save for the lone win over Aston Villa that the Cottagers will now try to build on only against the hottest team in the league right now. At +750 soccer odds to win outright, sportsbooks aren’t encouraging at all but there is wiggle room for Fulham: that is, if Man City experiences another inexplicable wobble on the road.

Man City’s recent form however suggests otherwise and that’s why they are our recommended  soccer pick at -275 to win outright. What’s more, Pellegrini and Co. are creeping up on Arsenal and surely they’ll want to underscore their last performance with another resounding victory at the expense of a hapless Fulham. It’s a worrying time for Fulham with Man City picking up steam and looking to maintain the momentum. So take the Man City win with the Over 2.5 at -225. As well, for a bonus soccer pick take Man City to win both halves at -125 at Bet365.

Added angles for profit can be found on players to score goals in the game. Alvaro Negredo and Sergio Aguero are listed at -120 to score anytime while Nasri and David Silva are tipped at +200 and +225, respectively, at Bet365.

Soccer Free Picks: Man City to win outright at -275; Over 2.5 at -225

Bonus Soccer Picks: Man City to win both halves at -125 and Negredo to score anytime at -120