Bundesliga betting enters week 4 and on the docket we have the clash between Borussia M’gladbach and Werder Bremen, a match which odds makers are tipping wholeheartedly in favour of the home side. Can Gladbach score a second win on the season or will Werder Bremen turn the sports betting market on its head?
Borussia M’gladbach firm favourites
Borussia M’gladbach are set to host Werder Bremen on Saturday in a match that odds makers have them firmly installed as the favourites to win outright at -125 at Bet365. Mind, William Hill is offering the hosts at a slightly better price of -118 – that is, if you are so inclined to look that way with your Soccer picks.
Gladbach currently sit tenth in the table after three laps around the Bundesliga with a 1-0-2 record and three points. Despite the losing record, Gladbach have accounted well and they won’t be too nonplussed about having only three points from a potential nine points.
In truth, they were dealt the toughest opening schedule with both Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen to contend with on the away – only two of the short-odds-on-favourites for the Bundesliga title this season – in the opening month.
They began their season against Bayern Munich and lost 3-1. There is no shame in losing to the reigning Bundesliga champions and they showed that optimism and resilience with a bounce-back win over Hannover 96, beating them 3-0 to the delight of their home fans.
The trip to Leverkusen in Week 3 was bound to end the same way the trip to Munich did, but Gladbach still showed their quality as we expected and managed to score a couple of goals in the exciting 4-2 defeat.
If Gladbach can bounce-back as they did against Hannover 96, this upcoming clash against Werder is a great opportunity to do just that and, simultaneously, climb the table. They have home edge to accomplish the feat and the sportsbooks’ blessing as the favourites (as mentioned already). A 2-1 victory is the best priced score for the hosts at +700 while a 1-0 win is listed at +750. While a 2-0 win is priced at +800. Curious to note however that a 1-1 draw is priced lower at soccer betting odds of +600 (the outright draw result is listed at +275).
Werder Bremen road puppies
In spite of holding a coveted sixth place in the Bundesliga table and taking six points out of nine potential points, Werder Bremen makes the trek to Monchengladbach as the road puppies, listed at +300 at William Hill and slightly larger at +320 at Bet365. Now this might surprise some given the status quo in the table and what appears to be on the surface good (winning) form. But it really isn’t.
Ardent Bundesliga fans will know that this is largely due to the fact that Werder Bremen started the season as one of several teams earmarked for relegation by experts. And although two wins in three games is a positive start for any team (unless we’re talking about household names such as Bayern), Werder’s wins need to be kept within context of the quality of the matchups, as the odds makers have clearly done.
Werder opened the season with back-to-back wins over Eintracht Braunschweig and Augsburg, two lightweights in Bundesliga this season and potential relegation candidates. They beat both 1-0.
Reality was expected to set in against Borussia Dortmund at the weekend, a side that is tipped as one of the short-odds-on favourites for the title and against which soccer bettors can better gauge Werder’s merit. Most expected BVB to route Werder but instead they only beat them 1-0.
That they lost the match just by conceding a goal defies reason, especially when considering the fact that they were on the away. Don’t make too much of it. It has to be entirely down to BVB and their inability (as of yet) to break down teams properly rather than anything special Werder did.
Soccer Betting Verdict: Borussia M’gladbach is the correct favourite in this game and should win this match convincingly. They’ve played well over the first three weeks of Bundesliga action and deserve a better ranking than have right now. It’ll be Werder Bremen’s second road game in as many weeks so expect that to be a factor. As well, they can’t possibly maintain their positive form on the season for much longer.Soccer Free Picks: Borussia M’gladbach to win at -118 at William Hill