Soccer Picks & Tips: Bayern Munich vs. VfB Stuttgart

Nila Amerova

Thursday, May 30, 2013 8:48 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 30, 2013 8:48 PM UTC

Bayern Munich hope to set a record on Saturday by completing a first-ever title treble in club history against VfB Stuttgart in the DFB Pokal final. No question about it, smart money is on Bayern to pull off the treble. But how good are the odds on Bayern’s defining moment? Are there angles for profit with our soccer picks? Find out as we break it down.

Bayern Munich has the market cornered

Bayern Munich won the Bundesliga title by an incredible and record-setting 25 points and then seized (finally!!) the illusive Champions League title last weekend in London with a 2-1 victory over Bundesliga rivals Borussia Dortmund.

Winning the DFB Pokal would be a fitting end to a storybook season. It would establish Bayern as the best German club and it would also consign Josef "Jupp" Heynckes, who is retiring at the end of the season, to posterity, where he would keep good company with the likes of Alex Fergusson, Pep Guardiola and Jose Mourinho, all of whom have accomplished the treble at one point or other in their careers.

Bayern Munich is firmly installed as the hot favourite to win the Cup Final over VFB Stuttgart and the -450 betting odds that are on offer at William Hill are good enough, all things being considered. Put it this way: they won’t be priced any lower. Not now that they’ve raised Bundesliga’s profile on the world stage and established they are not just the favourites but the runaway favourites.

Headline offers at William Hill feature Mario Mandzukic to score and Bayern Munich to win at -138, a promotion that is a bit interesting, if you will. For those in the know and that watched that entertaining Champions League final against Borussia Dortmund have to concede that the man of the match was Arjen Robben.

The Dutch international was in almost every screen shot, every angle. He was so persistent and active up and down the pitch, the camera simply couldn’t shake him and finally he got his just reward when he scored the winning goal in the dying minutes of the match. Betting odds on Robben scoring in the DFB Pokal are set at a lush +400. Mandzukic and Mario Gomez are listed shorter at +250, if you are so inclined, while Claudio Pizarro is tipped at +300.

Bayern Munich go into the Cup Final with a record 15 cup wins under the belt and eight domestic doubles. Their last domestic cup win however was back in 2009/10 when they beat Werder Bremen 4-0. Last year, they finished runner-up to Borussia Dortmund after succumbing to a 5-2 defeat. Handicap odds on Bayern to win by -1 goal are highest priced at -188 while -2 goals is tipped at +138 and -3 goals is tipped at +333 at William Hill.

Can Stuttgart deny Bayern Munich a historical season?

The odds are stacked against Stuttgart heavily. They are listed as the outrageous +1000 underdogs to beat Bayern Munich. What is a tempting bet as far as sports betting goes and, more specifically, return on investment. But let’s face it, it’s highly unlikely – well, so say the experts.

Stuttgart put their season to bed on a modest note, with a 12th place finish after mustering up a 12-7-15 record. To shed some light on their seasonal output: they finished a whopping 40 points adrift of Bayern Munich. To be fair, second-placed Borussia Dortmund was drifting 25 points away. So it’s all relative.

In spite of the modest overall effort on the season, Stuttgart did hit a stretch of good form towards the end with a 5-2-3 mark in their last ten overall fixtures and recently traipsed to a lopsided 10-0 victory over Reutlingen in a club friendly.

Recent head-to-head trends though aren’t encouraging for Stuttgart at all and not just for the win but also to make an impression against Bayern. This season, they lost both fixtures 6-1 at Bayern and 2-0 at home.

Moreover, Stuttgart is riding seven-game losing streak against Bayern since December 22 2010 when they were embarrassed by Bayern 6-3 in DFB action. During that run, three times they were held scoreless and three times they managed only one goal. Best case scenario for Stuttgart: if they were to somehow have amnesia and forget the last seven straight defeats to Bayern – some of which could be mistaken for tennis sets, a 6-1 and a 6-3 defeat. What chance that will happen? Slim to none

Soccer Betting Verdict: The balance tips heavily in favour of Bayern winning this Cup Final and completing the treble of titles. Bayern to win outright is a smart play at -450. Maybe even a no-brainer. Therefore, what’s left for soccer enthusiasts is to pick the markets that suit their individual needs and means. Such as selecting one of the handicap markets that offers a healthy goal tally in favour of Bayern or picking the score and goal scorers in the game.

Soccer Free Picks: Bayern Munich to win 3-0
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