Soccer Picks: Take Luis Suarez To Score First In Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid Battle

Martin Green

Wednesday, January 27, 2016 2:08 PM GMT

Champions Barcelona will face a stern test against a well-drilled Atletico Madrid side at the weekend and we are ready to break down the odds and offer you the best soccer picks for the game.

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Free Soccer Pick: Suarez To Score First +350
Best Line Offered: at Bet365

 

Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid Game Overview
Champions Barcelona will face a stern test against a well-drilled Atletico Madrid side at the weekend and they will need to be at the top of their game if they are to break down a stubborn defense and seize three vital points. The teams are level on points at the top of the table, although Barcelona have a game in hand, and if one were to win this it would send out a very strong statement about their title credentials.

Enormous credit must go to Atletico manager Diego Simeone, who operates with a far smaller budget than Barcelona and Real Madrid have at their disposal, yet keeps his side competitive with those giants. He broke their duopoly by winning the league in 2013/14 and led Atletico to a credible third place last season. Despite having to sell key players like Arda Turan and Diego Costa in the past couple of years, they are right in the mix again this season – above Real and level with Barca – and will fancy their chances of taking their richer rivals right to the wire. What Atletico lack in flair they make up for in work rate. They are one of the most determined, energetic and disciplined sides you are ever likely to see. Diego Godin is an absolute titan at the back, and Koke keeps things ticking along nicely in midfield and Antoine Griezmann is a classy forward.

But Barcelona are surely the best team in the world right now. They are European champions and nobody has found a way to stop their outrageously talented attacking triumvirate of world player of the year Lionel Messi, Brazilian superstar Neymar and Luis Suarez, the league’s top scorer. Everyone one of their players is superb in possession, and they also have a fantastic work ethic and can press teams all over the pitch. Despite Atletico’s discipline and defensive astuteness, you would have to fancy Barcelona nicking this by the odd goal. Atletico haven’t won at the Nou Camp since 2006 and that is unlikely to change at the weekend. The soccer odds reflect this, with Coral going as high as +550 on Atletico to win. Barca are odds-on favorites, best–priced at -200 with PaddyPower, which isn’t too attractive given Atletico’s resilience. Despite Barcelona’s superiority, few would be surprised if Atletico did battle to a draw. Paddy Power and various other bookmakers are offering +300 on the draw, which is an intriguing soccer pick, but risky given Barcelona’s attacking riches.

 

Betting Analysis
For these reasons, it might be worth leaving the outrights alone and looking elsewhere for value. Messi is +333.33 favorite to score first with William Hill, but Suarez looks even better value at +350. He has banged in 18 goals in just 20 games this season, and has a habit of popping up with crucial goals in big games against stubborn rivals. His movement in the box is exceptional and he is a superb finisher, so he will surely terrorise the Atletico defense. William Hill is offering +110 on him to score at any time, which looks a great bet considering Coral and Paddy Power will only go to -110. In all competitions he has 29 goals in 30 games this season, suggesting he will score pretty much every time he takes the field.