Soccer Picks: Swansea vs. Manchester United Tips

Nila Amerova

Tuesday, August 13, 2013 6:34 PM GMT

Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2013 6:34 PM GMT

Swansea have been dealt a devilish opener against Manchester United on the Premier League 2013-2014 season. What can soccer fans expect from this matchup aside from a Man U win? Put bluntly: where is the value? Because let’s face it, nobody is entertaining anything but a Red Devils win. Or are they?

Manchester United descends on Liberty Stadium

David Moyes and Company descend on Liberty Stadium as the favourites to win outright at -110, what is a rather conservative price all things being considered and in comparison to some of the hefty prices making the rounds in markets on other so-called “mismatched” matches in week 1. On the other hand, the other side of the coin is more representative: Host Swansea are tipped as the significant +300 underdogs and the draw is not far off at +250 with Bet365.

This is an interesting market, one that we need to make sense of and analyse. Nobody likes predictable predictions right? And just because expectation leans towards a Man U win wholeheartedly, it doesn’t mean it’s a sure thing.  

Fact is Man U should win this match and bag all three points convincingly. In fact, Man U has to. The schedule that looms ahead is quite tricky for them with Chelsea up next followed by Liverpool on the road and then Manchester City. And you can bet Moyes will be desperately pushing his men to answer the first test on the season positively. Imagine if they were to go into the clash against Mourinho short-changed or even empty-handed [shudder the thought!]

Yet matches are never played on paper but on the pitch. What we know about the Welsh so far in two top-flight seasons proves they are no pushovers. Moreover, Swansea have been a tough side for Man U to conquer on the road, temptingly so for soccer bettors looking to perhaps make a bold play for Swansea. Their last two meetings at Liberty Stadium saw the Red Devils only allowed to score twice – in a 1-0 win and a 1-1 draw. Then again, they have yet to be beaten by the Welsh side (3-1-0 in four meetings); hence the significant odds towards the upset.

Take a look at our Premier League Rundown full of Week 1 picks.

Value markets on Swansea vs. Man U:

This match should be a high-octane affair with both sides raring to get the new Premier League season underway. With home edge Swansea will be looking to give fans something to cheer about early. While Man U will be eager to begin its title defence in gauntlet throwing fashion – two notions that lends well towards some attractive options in prop markets. Such as 10 minute result at Bet365 which offers odds on Over/Under 0.5 at +350 and -550, respectively. If you are inclined this way, Swansea Is listed at soccer odds of +900 to open the scoring within ten minutes while Man U is on offers of +600 to do the same.

Halftime-Fulltime results tip a dominating Man U performance the best at +200 (Man U to win both halves). While a draw- Man U win is going for +400. If you are backing Swansea towards the quick start before reality sets in, a Swansea-Man U result is tipped at +2000. For those bold enough to go where no man is likely to go, a consummate Swansea performance (to win both halves) is trading at +550 at most online betting shops.

Past encounters between these two sides have gone under 3 goals three times (twice hitting two goals) with only their last encounter at the Old Trafford ending 2-1 to the Devils. So, if this trend holds true at the weekend, the Under 2.5 would appear to be the smart soccer picks at +100. Curious to note however that bookies across most platforms favour the Over 2.5 at -125? Go figure.

The fact that Man U has gone 1-1-0 at Liberty Stadium does open the door for a draw result overall in this game, which is trading at +250. Let’s not forget, Man U doesn’t always come out racing from the blocks either. This is why it may interest you to know where predicting the score is concerned bookies tip a 1-1 score the shortest at + 550. Next best price is a 1-0 win for Man U at +700 while a 2-0 win is going for +800.

[gameodds]2/239499/?r3=43-999997-349/dec&r-1=43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]

Soccer Betting Verdict: Well, there you have it a whole slew of markets to sort through where this intriguing matchup is concerned. Undoubtedly, the popular play is going to be a Man U win and at -110 to win outright it’s a worthwhile play. But for our part, we see a draw written all over this affair and so we are plumping down to a +250 stalemate with a 1-1 score line at +550. 

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