Soccer Picks: Swansea vs. Liverpool Tips & Odds

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, September 11, 2013 6:56 PM GMT

Wednesday, Sep. 11, 2013 6:56 PM GMT

Can Swansea derail Liverpool from a perfect start to the season? Join us as we preview this highly-anticipated affair on the weekend’s soccer betting menu.

Swansea dealt tough schedule

Swansea draws the short straw as far as schedules go; to have to face Manchester United, Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool in the first four weeks of the Premier League is simply a cruel twist of fate. A recipe for failure in most cases one would think. Certainly, it puts Swansea on the back foot right off the bat, forcing them to play catch up throughout the season.

Swansea opened the new season on a 4-1 defeat to Man U and then went on to lose 1-0 to Tottenham. Granted the latter result was more respectable despite the defeat. In fact, it most likely gave them confidence and propelled them to victory in their subsequent game against West Bromwich on the road, as they went on to win 2-0.

Swansea will attempt to extend their winning form to two in a row when they host Liverpool and interestingly enough they aren’t exactly priced out of the market. Make no mistake they are listed as the underdogs by all sportsbooks but at a mere +240 to win outright at Bet365, they aren’t exactly heavy underdogs. The upshot: some pundits are entertaining a possible upset here, a potential soccer pick that is supported by the fact that Liverpool haven’t cornered the market on this game despite being 100% perfect so far this season.

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Liverpool favoured but not so much

Liverpool are the favourites to win this game but at odds on the long side of even money, at +120 to win outright at Bet365, they don’t exactly have this game cornered do they?

The Reds are yet to falter across several competitions. They’ve won all three Premier League games beating Stoke (1-0), Aston Villa (1-0) and Manchester United (1-0). As well, they won their League Cup clash with Nott’s County (4-2).

If it isn’t obvious instantly why Liverpool isn’t strongly favoured to win this match, then take a closer look at the score line and you’ll get the picture. Each win was narrow and by just one goal. That’s not all. Daniel Sturridge has been singularly responsible for these wins having scored all three goals for Liverpool in domestic action. Clearly, the Reds’ sole reliance on the striker is an issue in the broad spectrum of their campaign and speaks to an offense that is slow to come out of the gates.

Worse yet, it’s potentially an even bigger issue now with reports that he might miss the Swansea game due to injury. He’s listed questionable and day-to-day. Obviously, soccer odds makers have taken stock and issued this less than convincing market on Liverpool to win.

The only positive for Liverpool is the fact that three clean sheets suggest defence is solid. That said Liverpool picked up some new prospects in the transfer window including Mamadou Sakho, Tiago Ilori and Victor Moses. It remains to be seen how well these new signings will gel and whether they’ll have an impact.

Swansea vs. Liverpool Predictions: Liverpool are the only team yet to leak points in Premier League action, making their next match (and every one afterwards until they do leak points) a point of interest. It’s only a matter of time before they do and certainly soccer bettors would love to be in on the action to reap the profits.

Liverpool are the favourites and at a price tag of just on the long side of even money they are the value pick as well. Yet often it happens that the team least likely to accomplish a surprising result actually does. Swansea is such a team and at +240 to win outright and at +240 to force the draw they fit the bill for the upset result. But can they do it? To all intents and purposes, Liverpool do have the momentum – even if it is slightly unconvincing – and they should extend their winning form to four in a row. That’s why we’re plumping down to a Liverpool win at cushy odds of +120 at Bet365.

Soccer Free Picks: Liverpool 2-1 win. 
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