Soccer Picks: Swansea vs. Arsenal Tips & Odds

Nila Amerova

Monday, September 23, 2013 7:12 PM GMT

Arsenal are flying high atop the table in Premier League and as they enter week 6 they’ll be looking to extend their solid form at the expense of Swansea. Certainly, bookies favour them to do so. Find out where the value soccer picks are to be had in this match.

Betting on the winner

Arsenal are on the road this week but with a trip to Swansea on the weekend’s card, online sportsbooks are happy to install them as the favourites to win outright even if they do so by nestling them just marginally long of even money at +110 at both Bet365 and William Hill. The hosts by comparison are tipped at +230 at Bet365 and at a slightly larger +250 at William Hill.

Arsenal are enjoying a run of four straight wins in Premier League, seven straight across all competitions. They are on formidable form right now and playing eye-catching attacking football that it’s really hard to imagine how Swansea City would derail them. Conversely, it’s easy to understand why many will be flocking to add Arsenal to their top soccer picks, to win this match.

Most expect a Swansea defeat here, a result not unlike their two previous big Premier League clashes on the season that they lost – 4-1 to Man U and 1-0 to Tottenham Hotpsur. In fact, even the draw is priced almost as large as a Swansea City win is at +220 at William Hill and at +230 at Bet365.

But perhaps the soccer odds makers aren’t giving Swansea enough respect here. Keep in mind, Swansea are sat pretty in eighth spot in the table on seven points (shockingly level with Man U no less) and boasting a 2-1-2 record. More importantly, recent form has witnessed a delightful upsurge as they are on a four-match undefeated run across all competitions.

Their most remarkable deposit this week was an impressive 3-0 win over Valencia in midweek Europa League action. If Swansea were supposed to be the underdogs in that match, they certainly didn’t get the memo. They played brilliantly and with poise few expected them to show against a quality Spanish side in Europe’s second-flight competition they took the crucial road win. They followed up that result with another convincing performance on the road, a 2-0 win at Crystal Palace in week 5.

Now the next fortnight is rather packed with action. Both teams have midweek League Cup fixtures to contend with even before they can plan for their weekend date and then, immediately afterwards, another round of midweek European commitments begins. Arsenal have a rather big clash mind against Napoli in Champions League, a side that is perceived to have a shot at challenging for top spot in group play and so Arsene Wenger is surely going to be mindful of what risks he’s prepared to take against West Brom in League Cup and then against Swansea. Of course, he’s well made up about being atop of Premier League too – call it his own redemption if you will – and will be mindful of maintaining pride of place.

Similarly, Swansea City have Birmingham City to contend with in League Cup then they have Arsenal at the weekend and then St. Gallen in Europa League action. It remains to be seen how well Swans manager Michael Laudrup will juggle these commitments.

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Soccer Betting Verdict: On paper, Arsenal does appear to be a smart choice for your sports picks, and at +110 to win outright they are a value favourite as well. That said, Swansea City have been truly impressive recently and shouldn’t be overlooked. Theoretically, if they can beat Valencia they can beat Arsenal or at least force the draw – and if you are so inclined, you’ll find those outcomes best priced at +250 at William Hill and at +230 at Bet365 respectively.

Everything hinges on the sort of line-up Arsene Wenger fields against Swansea. If he errs on the side of caution and sits some of his first stringers for the bulk of the match, you have to believe Swansea’s chances would begin to improve for both the draw and win. Incidentally, a 1-1 draw seems to be the favourite outcome by odds makers in score betting markets, tipped the shortest of all score lines at +500. Telling?

Soccer Free Picks: Draw +230 at Bet365 

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