Soccer Picks: Swansea Looking Like a Safe Bet, as Villans Won't Pay

Martin Williams

Thursday, October 22, 2015 3:02 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 22, 2015 3:02 PM UTC

Aston Villa has failed to stir up their game play for the past weeks. With another round ahead against Swansea, should we expect anything different this time? Check out out soccer pick inside. 

Aston Villa are desperate for a win and will fancy their chances against an out of sorts Swansea side. Since beating Man Utd 2-1 at the end of August, the Swans have picked up just two points from four games and have slipped down to 14th in the table. Star players Andrew Ayew and Batefemi Gomis are misfiring and they are leaking goals. They need to get back to winning ways and they couldn’t have picked a better opponent than Aston Villa, as SBR's Betting Odds show. 


Villans Yet to Impress with Performance
The Villans have been simply woeful this term and find themselves second bottom, having lost seven out of their nine games. They have been an ever-present since the Premier League began in 1992, but their status at the top table is looking perilous. They have not been relegated since 1987, when they dropped out of the old First Division, but this could be the year for a grand old dame of English football to taste the ignominy of relegation once more. They were cruising towards the Championship last season, before Tim Sherwood came in and rescued them at the death, but they sold their two best players – Christian Benteke and Fabian Delph – in the summer and failed to bring in adequate replacements. They are now in terminal decline and have wound up second favourites to go down, with Paddy Power offering -162½. It is a low price and perhaps not yet worth backing them until we see what happens in January. They may invest in the squad and they may bring in a new manager, regroup and escape by the skin of their teeth. It worked last year, when Sherwood galvanised them, but this year he is looking increasingly hapless.

He is obviously a good man manager and worked wonders with Benteke, just as he did with Emanuel Adebayor at Tottenham. But he seems tactically inept. Newcastle aside, Aston Villa are the only team in the bottom half of the table that don’t know how to grind out a win or a draw. They never park the bus, they never keep men behind the ball and dig in determinedly, regardless of the opposition. They continue to pour forward and try to play attacking football – which is creditable, but rash, leaving them incredibly vulnerable. They have not kept a clean sheet since the opening day of the season and they are unlikely to win against Swansea. Sherwood does not possess the raw materials to work with in attack either – Rudy Gestede is no Benteke, and no matter what Sherwood does he won’t bang in 20 goals this season. There are few match winners across their side. Jack Grealish is the only bright spark, but he is young and inconsistent, while the likes of Gueye, Gil, Westwood, Hutton and Richardson are unlikely to offer the necessary spark.

Odds Overview
Home side Aston Villa are +210 with Bet Victor to win this game, but you can forget about that. It would be a serious surprise if they did. That clean sheet they conceded on the first day of the season – a 1-0 win over Bournemouth – was the last time they won. They seem to have forgotten how to win, and are unlikely to remember in this match. A draw is +240 with Betfred and others, and that looks like an interesting soccer pick. Swansea are stuttering and a draw would not be the end of the world for them as they look to regroup. But a Swansea win looks the more likely result and +155 at Bet Victor is a good price for the away side. 

Aston Villa always seem to concede, so keep that in mind when looking at correct score betting. Bet365 is offering +1200 on a 2-0 Swansea win, which looks a good soccer pick. Also consider Swansea players to score at any time. Gomis has a good eye for goal and the short price of +200 reflects that, but it could be a wise investment.  

EPL Soccer Pick: Swansea City

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