Soccer Picks: Sunday's Best Value Lies Across Europe's Big Leagues

Lee Phelps

Saturday, February 7, 2015 11:39 PM GMT

William Hill's Lee Phelps looks at three of the big games in Europe with an eye on the betting to pick out his best bets from the odds available.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Barcelona
It's been a relatively disappointing season so far for Bilbao, but they have picked up and are four unbeaten now and have reached the semi-finals of the Copa Del Rey, so confidence is creeping back.

One of the reasons for their upturn in form is Aduriz being back amongst the goals with three in his last two matches. The defence is improving too with both of those game he scored in wins to nil as well.

Barca needs to win to keep the pressure on Real Madrid, who are four points clear before the weekend. I watched their win against Villarreal and although they were susceptible at the back, it was mainly because they pushed up so far, the attack was superb as ever.

Neymar and Messi link up so well, and although Suarez isn’t at his best, he is still going very close throughout matches. Generally they don't do too that well at Bilbao, with only one win in their last five visits, so I’m not sure I want to be playing at odds on.

I am happy to look at Barca to win and both teams to score at 15/8 for my soccer picks.  Another goals based bet is for the second half to be Barcelona’s highest scoring one. The stats are compelling with eight of 11 goals home goals conceded in the second 45 minutes and 14 of Barca’s 22 away goals coming after the break too.

Soccer pick: Barcelona highest scoring half: second 2.3 (13/10)

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Join Fellow Bettors in This Big League Discussion

Lyon vs PSG
This looks a great game at the top of Ligue Une with Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Co. looking to slowly but surely chase down the league leaders. Lyon are two points ahead of PSG and Marseille and have a great home record going into this match.

They have won 11 of their 12 matches, inexplicably losing to Lens, whilst the reigning champions have the best away record having won five, drawn five and lost two. Looking at those two records side-by-side, you would have to lean towards the top-of-the-table team on the soccer odds, but they have a problem.

Alexandre Lacazette is injured and he has scored lots of goals. Before his injury he had scored in nine successive games, racking up 13 goals in that run. He is responsible for 21 of Lyon’s 47 Ligue Une goals and 12 of their 30 at home.

I see Lyon setting up for a point and maintaining the gap at the top between them and PSG. Although their opponents are improving, I’m not sure they are quite at the level to break Lyon down. I’m going for the draw and because of the lack of goals in France and how tight this game will be, I’m going for a 1-1!

Soccer pick: Correct score 1-1 7.0 (6/1)

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West Ham United vs Manchester United
I’m expecting goals when Louis van Gaal’s team visit Upton Park this Sunday in the final Premier League game of the weekend. Although you can’t always be sure of goals when they travel, with three blanks already this season, I think the Hammers’ style will encourage Man U to play on the counter and, as we know, they have excellent attackers and clinical finishers.

The problem for the visitors is Andy Carroll. He leads the stats on headers won by a distance averaging just over nine per game and when you add in the fact that Sam Allardyce’s men have scored the most headers in the Premier League (14) this rickety defense may be tested to its limit.

I’m relatively confident of a home win, but will play Carroll to score.

Soccer pick: Andy Carroll to score anytime 3.75 (11/4)

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