Soccer Picks: Spain vs. Belarus World Cup Qualifier Tips

Richard O'Hagan

Tuesday, October 8, 2013 7:34 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 8, 2013 7:34 PM UTC

Spain are running neck and neck with France for qualification and will fancy their chances against the bottom side in the group. That being said, should this influence our soccer picks when Spain faces Belarus this weekend?

It almost seems inconceivable, but the 2014 FIFA World Cup could take place without one of Spain or France taking part. The two sides are level on 14 points at the top of Group I, although the French have played a game more. Both sides have only home games remaining, but the Spaniards will be the more confident as their matches are against the two bottom sides, against Belarus on Friday and Georgia next Tuesday.

That said, they know that any slip will potentially let France in and condemn them to the lottery of a play-off against one of the other second placed sides. They will be very confident, though, of beating a Belarus side who they thrashed 4-0 in Minsk a year ago and who have only scored 6 times in their 7 games so far.

Spain will be missing David Villa, who is suffering from arthritic problems in his left ankle, but that should not adversely affect him and may lead to a first international cap for mercurial Swansea forward Michu.

With soccer odds currently listing the Spaniards at a best price of 1.06 to win this game, looking elsewhere for value is essential. Belarus’ goalscoring record doesn’t give much hope, but on the basis that they almost score a goal a game, the 5.0 that Ladbrokes are offering for both sides to score is worth considering with your soccer picks under the circumstances, as could a bet on any scoreline that involves Belarus scoring at all. The market on this opens with a 2-1 Spanish win at 19.0 and gets more attractive from there, allowing you to cover several options and still make a tidy profit. Other than that, it is hard to find much value at all in this game.

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