Soccer Picks: Southampton vs. Swansea Tips & Odds

Mike Richardson

Friday, October 4, 2013 7:41 PM GMT

Friday, Oct. 4, 2013 7:41 PM GMT

While the success of Southampton might surprise some bettors your Humble Handicapper can still smell where the money is especially when Saints host Swansea next weekend in the Premier league. 

At time of press Southampton are sitting just outside a champions league finish. After just six games Southampton have 11 points that's more than Manchester City and Manchester United. They may just have won three games but they've drawn two and lost just one. That's exactly the same as Chelsea, aside from that they are just one goal behind. 

You might like to know that Southampton are at soccer odds of 50/1 on a champions league finish, a highly unlikely that but they are also 33/1 on relegation. Those odds tell you just how likely Southampton dropping out of the Premier league is. 

Enough with the long form bets...WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

[gameodds]2/246072/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Southampton's opponents are further down the league and have just seven points but at this early stage of the season league position can be misleading. 

The last times these sides met last season the games ended honours even and a draw, which is the sort of let that I certainly wouldn't begrudge you backing, but if you feel so inclined to back that choice with your soccer picks, the option is available at 5/2. The show was correct score odds on a draw of 0-0 are10/1,13/2 on 1-1 and 16/1 on 2-2. 

But…

I don't think you should back a draw as Southampton are on a three game winning streak in all competitions while Swansea are on a two game losing run. 

I certainly wouldn't suggest backing a heavy scoring game, and therefore I suggest you back under 2.5 goals at 4/5 as out of their last four games Southampton have kept four clean sheets. 

You might say that Swansea have had the tougher opposition of the late, but Southampton can only beat the teams that are put in front of them.

And on the other hand Swansea will wish that they were the hosts rather than the visitors in this match as the Swans have not lost at home to the Saints for over half a century with their last home defeat at the hands of Southampton coming all the way back in 1962. 

You might want to note that in a nutshell Southampton winning is at Evens, Swansea winning is at 11/4, and the shortest correct score odds with the Sportsboooks are at 1-0 to Saints at 5/1. 

Your Humble Handicapper and has noticed that Southampton have kept three clean sheets in their last three home games and they scored twice in their last two home games. Swansea found the back of the net in their last three away games scoring, just the one against Arsenal two away to Crystal Palace and three away to Valencia. 

Something's got to give.

Everything may well be pointing towards a draw but your Humble Handicapper is going out on a limb and is backing an away victory with his sports pick.

Prediction: Swans above Saints as the visitors win 2-1 available at 14/1 with Ladbrokes.
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