As this weekend sees the conclusion of the Premier League in England and with everything apart from the final Champions League place already decided, the clever better should take their money across the water to Spain for their soccer picks when Sevilla host Real Sociedad .
A quick look at the Spanish league table gives us a good idea who we should back. Real Sociedad are in fifth place with 58 points, but they have that all-important game in hand against fourth place Valencia, and two games in hand on third place Atlético Madrid. However, as the side in the bronze medal place have 72 points and Real Sociedad have just 58 they've got no chance of catching them before the end of the season, the fourth place spot is very hotly contested between Valencia and Real Sociedad and at present there is just a single solitary point between them and that makes me think that Sociedad will go all out for three points when they take on Sevilla.
Sevilla have table issues of their own as after 35 games they are in eighth place. That may seem very presentable on the surface however they are one of seven teams on 40-something points and as there are still nine points to play for, they could drop down as low as 14th or even finish the season as high as sixth.
Enough with the table settings…WHERE’S THEMONEY MIKE?
Sevilla have a very presentable home record with 12 victories a single drawer and just four defeats. And they have more than doubled their visiting opponents’ goal tally to 36 goals and conceding just 16. Therefore I couldn't recommend that you bet on a draw at 14/5 betting odds. And I would definitely avoid a 1-1 at 11/2 and deftly avoid a scoreless draw at 14/1.
Real Sociedad by comparison are on a little bit of a poor run away from home, with six wins, five draws and six defats. The trouble is they also get a dead heat in the goals they have scored and conceded with 26 going in at either end. (Want to bet on a draw? see the above paragraph).
Looking at the recent history it is very much a mixed bag for both sides as the home side has drawn three lost one and won four of their last five. It gets even more confusing as Sevilla have twice failed to find the back of the net in their last five games but have twice scored three against their opponents. It's telling to note that when they couldn't find the back of the net away from home and when they did find the back of the net three times they were at home. You can bet on 3-1 to the home side at 18/1, 3-2 at 25/1, but again I say stay away from 3-3 to the home side even at 50/1.
The away side are winless in their last two but have two wins, two draw is just one defeat from the last five Baltimore Real Sociedad have only once failed to find the back of the net in the last five, although that was away from home. Crunching the numbers straight down Real Sociedad have scored nine in their last five games and conceded just five.
The last four times the sides have met the home side has come out on top and you’d have to go all the way back to January 2011 to see a game where the away side triumphed, however that is what I think is going to happen this weekend because I think Real Sociedad need the points and want the points more.
Soccer Prediction: 2-1 to Real Sociedad available at 11/1 with bet 365
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