Soccer Picks for Sevilla vs. Valencia

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, February 12, 2014 8:23 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 12, 2014 8:23 PM UTC

Sevilla and Valencia collide in Week 24 La Liga action. Find out where the value soccer picks are to be had in this highly anticipated Spanish top-flight affair.


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Sevilla home advantage nominal

Sevilla have home advantage for their clash with Villarreal, not that it really amounts to much in the way of soccer betting markets. Although they are the notional favourites, they are listed on the short side of even money at +110 to win outright at Bet365.

Sevilla are enjoying a decent campaign in Spanish top flight. They are seventh in the table after 24 laps around the league with an 8-7-8 mark and 31 points. Rather a modest account considering the huge gap that exists between the top three and the rest of the teams in the top ten, a gap none has any hope to close by season end.

Sevilla’s immediate concern however comes from behind, in the form of their upcoming visitors Valencia, eighth in the table but dead level on 31 points on the back of a 9-4-10 mark.

In fact, very little separates both these teams, not only where their overall campaign is concerned but also in home and road form. Both are better at home than they are on the road.

That said Sevilla’s overall form has experienced a perceptible dip of late. They are winless in their last five games across all competitions and are after three straight defeats both home and away. Most recently, they are after back-to-back defeats at home in La Liga, a 3-2 defeat to Levante and a 4-1 routing by Barcelona.

They are 2-1-2 in their last five home league matches but 1-1-3 in their last five home matches across all competitions, including a 2-0 defeat to Racing Santander in Copa del Rey action.

Valencia meanwhile are coming off back-to-back wins in La Liga, including an impressive 3-2 victory over Barcelona at Camp Nou that nobody expected and that shook soccer betting markets no end. It was Barcelona’s first home defeat in eons. Importantly, they backed up that win with another victory at home in Week 23 La Liga betting, a 5-0 routing of Real Betis.

Indeed, Valencia descends on Sevilla with a verve and swagger that could make their +240 soccer odds to win outright the value soccer pick of the weekend.

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Sevilla vs. Valencia match betting tips and picks:

Although the sportsbooks tip Sevilla as the notional favourites to win outright, the somewhat indecisive favouritism is cause for pause. What’s more, it’s clear that Sevilla have little to no momentum ahead of this clash. The upshot of both facts, they strike a soft pose as the +110 favourites to win outright at Bet365.

By contrast, Valencia loom ominous, brimming with confidence following a statement-making victory over Barcelona a few weeks ago and backing it up with another over Real Betis, Valencia will be looking to make it three in a row at the expense of the hosts. Adding value to their soccer odds is the fact that they beat Sevilla in their first meeting this season 3-1, a positive result that should send them into this reverse with measured optimism towards sweeping the series. In fact, the more we think on it the more we like Valencia to win at +240 at Bet365. They have the form to do it.

Soccer Free Picks: Valencia to win outright at +240

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