Soccer Picks: Schalke 04 vs. VfB Stuttgart

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, November 27, 2013 7:37 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2013 7:37 PM GMT

Schalke 04 and Stuttgart collide in week 14 Bundesliga betting. Find out what the sportsbooks are offering on this clash and where the value is to be had.

Schalke 04 firm favourites

Schalke 04 boast a 6-3-4 record after 13 laps around the Bundesliga table, a decent record that includes a modest 3-1-2 home record.

Currently sixth in the table on 21 points they are only a point behind fifth-placed Wolfsburg and four points adrift of fourth-place Borussia M’gladbach. So staying on pace for a top-five berth is a priority, especially when they have stiff competition nipping at their heels in Mainz 05, just two-points shy and hoping to leapfrog up the table.

Domestic form is encouraging as they are riding a three-game undefeated streak that includes two wins and a draw. Their last five home and away games reads DWWLW, a run of form that undoubtedly will prove to make them popular in punting circles and that justifies their favourable soccer odds of -150 to win outright at Bet365.

Adding weight to those odds as well is the fact that they have had the measure of some the Bundesliga’s best this season – a surprise 2-0 win over Bayer Leverkusen early in the season springs to mind. They’ve also beat newcomers Hertha BSC (a side punching above its weight class so far) 2-0 on the road a few weeks ago.

Check out my other pick on La Liga's Atletico Madrid~

Clearly, sportsbooks have Schalke 04 the superior side, betting against which would definitely seem a risky prospect – what with the hefty +400 odds on Stuttgart to win or at +280 odds on the draw. That said midweek Champions League action did see Schalke 04 frustrated something awful as they were forced to settle on a disappointing scoreless draw in Bucharest. The disappointment leaves Schalke 04’s European bid hanging in the balance of match day 6 when they take on FC Basel. But the more pressing concern here is whether that disappointment (and let’s not forget the travel involved) spills over into this clash.

Indeed, Stuttgart have an opportunity here to heap more misery on Schalke 04 when they descend on Veltins Arena in Gelsenkirchen.

Stuttgart have totted up a 4-4-5 record (3-1-3 on the road) so far which puts them in ninth place on 16 points. Importantly, they are unbeaten in four of their last five road games – the lone defeat coming to Borussia Dortmund and an unmemorable one at that (well from their perspective) at 6-1 that we needn’t focus on really given the elite pedigree of said opponent.

Although Stuttgart is enjoying a somewhat satisfactory start to the season they still have reason to be nervous – from the dizzying heights of ninth place in the table it’s just a five-point drop into the relegation play-off spot.  So they are hardly safe and as such will go into this match keen for points all the while knowing that Schalke 04 aren’t invincible.

What is Borussia Dortmund up to?

[gameodds]11/249696/?r-1=19-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Schalke 04 vs. Stuttgart Betting tips and picks:

Although sportsbooks have this game a rather lopsided affair with Schalke 04 the clear favourites, we feel there is value in backing the visitors. On paper and a level playing field, Schalke 04 have much to recommend them on the outright win at -150 soccer odds. But the recent disappointment in Europe along with the travel involved and several injuries that have hit the team raise serious question marks too difficult to ignore. In fact, it takes some of the shine off their odds in our opinion, bringing up the possibility that Stuttgart could deliver the upset – either a win at +400 or a draw at +280 strikes us as a good wager.

Soccer Free Picks: Draw at +280; Over 2.5 -175

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